Sports Betting Picks from Sport Information Traders

The Two Commandments: the most common pair of sins we see in work submitted to TFW for critique, and how to avoid them.

It's been my great pleasure to read all of the writing that's been posted to TFW for review and advice. In fact, there's been enough of it posted that I've identified some common trends when it comes to what that writing does wrong. By coincidence, I've also stumbled across a twitter thread by literary agent DongWon Song, and it turns out that the two problems I've most often seen are the same two problems he most often encounters in the manuscripts of hopeful authors, which suggests to me that it's worth making a big deal about this.
So in an effort to help you avoid these common pitfalls, I present TFW's Two Commandments which, when obeyed, will ensure that your work is given the best possible chance of survival in the harsh world outside your drafts folder.
The First Commandment: Thou shalt hook the reader.
Readers do not go into your (first) story all that interested or committed. Much like an unknown comedian walking up to the mic, you have zero credibility and nobody cares.
The people who read your first story have the same variety of motivations as an audience that shows up to an open mic night: they're bored, they stumbled across it accidentally, they're fellow artists who want to support you (or check out the competition, or see you struggle), or occasionally they're a talent agent hoping to find a diamond in the rough. What they have in common, in other words, is that they are not a patient crowd.
You do not have hours or even minutes to capture a reader's attention. You have seconds. Simply putting your story down and never coming back to it is a very real option for them.
Pick your favorite novel off the shelf and start reading. Note how quickly the author introduces a source of tension in order to captivate the reader, "tension" being defined very simply here as the creation of a situation where the reader cares about what happens next: a problem or a goal or a mystery that the reader wants to see resolved. That's a hook. Thou shalt hook the reader as quickly and firmly as possible.
With a hat tip to DongWon Song, be aware that tension is not the same as action. If the reader has no interest or emotional stake in the action, then even the best action scene is just an act of random violence. Doubt me? Walk into a bar where you don't know the teams or even the rules of the sport playing on the TV and watch for awhile. Then turn to your neighbor and make a large bet on the result. Observe how your emotional engagement with the same sporting event rapidly changes, including an unforced interest in learning all about the players, the strategy, and the minutiae of the rules. That's the difference between action and tension.
The tension doesn't have to relate directly to your main plot, it doesn't have to involve your main character, it doesn't even have to be all that serious (although all three of those are a good idea), but it does have to make the reader want to turn to page 2, like so:
Shogun, by James Clavell. First sentence: “The gale tore at him and he felt its bite deep within and he knew that if they did not make landfall in three days they would all be dead.”
Harry Potter, by JK Rowling. Third paragraph: "The Dursleys had everything they wanted, but they also had a secret, and their greatest fear was that somebody would discover it."
A Game of Thrones, by George R.R. Martin. First sentence: ""We should start back," Gared urged as the woods began to grow dark around them. "The wildlings are dead.""
Sharpe's Rifles, by Bernard Cornwell. First sentence: "The prize was a strongbox. A Spanish Major was struggling to save the box, while a chasseur Colonel of Napoleon’s Imperial Guard had been ordered to capture it. The Frenchman had been unleashed to the task; told that he could destroy or kill whatever or whoever tried to obstruct him."
No Country For Old Men, Cormac McCarthy. First sentence: "I sent one boy to the gaschamber at Huntsville."
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy, John le Carré. First sentence: "The truth is, if old Major Dover hadn't dropped dead at Taunton races Jim would never have come to Thursgood's at all."
The Fellowship of the Ring, J.R.R. Tolkien. Second paragraph: "And if that was not enough for fame, there was also his prolonged vigour to marvel at. Time wore on, but it seemed to have little effect on Mr. Baggins. At ninety he was much the same as at fifty. At ninety-nine they began to call him well-preserved, but unchanged would have been nearer the mark."
The art of the storyteller is to make the reader want to know what happens next. The audience is doing you a favor by reading the first page of your novel. After the first page, they should be asking to read more. In fact, if you want to make a career of writing, ideally they should be willing to pay you to read more.
If you're serious about writing fantasy fiction - which is the manifesto of this subreddit - then you need to be deadly serious about ensuring that everyone who starts reading your work is given a reason to keep reading as soon as possible.
The Second Commandment: Thou shalt orient the reader.
If you're providing an excerpt from a larger work, you'll have to do this in the form of a brief summary of what we need to know. But if like most, you're submitting a short story or a prologue/first chapter, it is absolutely critical that you provide enough detail in the course of your writing, i.e. not via an explanatory blurb, that we understand at all times what the heck is happening, to whom, why, and how the characters feel about it: enough context about your world and the people that populate it for the reader to understand and appreciate what's going on in your story.
This is a good rule for all fiction, but it's exponentially more important when you're writing fantasy fiction that's going to involve invented worlds, invented species, and invented societies, and along with those, probably a fair number of invented words or concepts that your reader is learning for the very first time.
Why does this matter so much? See part one: you're on a short leash in front of a tough crowd. Boring them by not providing an instant hook is the cardinal sin, but right behind it on the list of dangerous mistakes is disorienting them, which is going to frustrate them, which is going to cause the rotten tomatoes to fly - or worse, the seats to empty.
When this issue is addressed clumsily, you risk subjecting the reader to an info dump, but that risk doesn't mean you can or should avoid the task of early (and by early I mean immediate) exposition.
If it seems like quickly introducing and maintaining a source of tension while providing a bunch of seamless exposition about your world is a difficult task, well, yes. Nobody said this craft was easy.
Good luck, and we look forward to reading your work!
submitted by grizwald87 to fantasy_workshop [link] [comments]

A basic guide on how to bet on CSGO

I know with the recent closure of many sports leagues, a lot of you guys are trying to find something else to bet on. Unlike most sports, eSports is not usually postponed or cancelled due to illness because most of the leagues are online. As a bettor that has been placing wagers on CSGO (Counter Strike Global Offensive) for the past couple of years, I want to provide you guys with not a complete guide, but the basics to get you guys started.
  1. Research There are many sources of research you can conduct for CSGO. The best resource for CSGO betting analysis is hltv.org. This site provides statistics for matchups, h2hs, and also shows you rankings for teams. A second form of research you can use is by searching the team name up on esea.net or faceit.com to see how they currently stand in the league they're playing in. A pivotal thing to note is that map vetos are critical to the match and analyzing what teams are good on which of the 7 maps is important to research
  2. Watching CSGO is relatively easy to watch. You can find the streams clicking on the match link on hltv.org. If the stream is not there/the match is not there, usually you can find the stream via twitch.tv so no more need for buffstreamz
  3. Understanding The good thing about CSGO is that it is extremely easy to understand. The basic gist of it is:
a. The first team to 16 rounds win and there are two sides: Counter-Terrorist and Terrorist.
b. You play half the rounds as terrorist and half as counter-terrorist.
c. To win a round on Terrorist side, you either have to kill all the counter-terrorists or plant the bomb and have it explode
d. To win a round on Counter-Terrorist side, you have to either kill all the terrorists or defuse the planted bomb
e. If the game is tied 15-15, the game will go to overtime and the first team to win 4/6 rounds will win the map. If not, game will continue at 18-18 and the same rules apply til a team wins 4/6 rounds
f. There are 3 types of formats: Bo1, Bo3, and Bo5 and this is much like tennis formatting (Bo3).
I hope this guide helped you guys a bit during this betting drought and hopefully will get you guys more into eSports as a whole. If you guys ever need any advice, feel free to hit me up on Twitter or on Reddit as I post pretty often on POTD thread.
submitted by hyperbettor to sportsbook [link] [comments]

Hypertrophy Training. It's not that complicated.

TL;DR

This doesn't mean ignore science. Just that you should get your science from those actually qualified to read it and apply it. Not searching PubMed by yourself. Discussing the nuances of hypertrophy training is also fun and something a lot of advanced lifters enjoy even whilst knowing it doesn't matter much. This also doesn't mean that you are overcomplicating things by partaking in said discussions.
Good sources (Will update with suggestions from comments)

Criticisms of the Science-Based Community

The community that is negatively referred to as the "science-based community", in lifting, isn't actually science-based but we'll refer to them as such.
They tend to think that they are or can potentially be one step ahead of everyone else because they have access to PubMed.
A quote from purplespengler's blog:
If you are just a guy trying to learn about training on the internet, you are not Brad Schoenfeld. You never will be. It is arrogant to pretend that you - a layman - can be. Even more arrogant is the claim that all it will take for you to stop being a layman is the ability to parrot articles and study abstracts you've memorized. [.]
[.]
Most novices that claim to be science-based, actually aren't. They search pubmed for a stone tablet that will get them optimal gains. Typically, once a good marketer comes along and misuses science to claim that they have the 100% optimal routine, they jump ship from their current routine and buy-in.
True scientific thinking necessitates, at minimum, the acknowledgment that uncertainty actually exists, and at best the development of comfort with it. This sense of comfort with the uncertain appears to go against our seemingly inherent inclinations toward its inverse. This is likely one of the main reasons as to why thinking like a scientist is such a difficult thing for us as individuals to actually do. It’s worth noting that scientific thinking can be applied to any field or aspect in life. And can be a huge advantage in our lives once cultivated.
Science is not about your views; science is about how you come to your views. In other words, how you think is far more important than what you think. With scientific thinking, you are essentially humbly acknowledging that you are unable to know everything there is to know whilst still striving to make the best decisions possible using available evidence.
As a novice without any education or history of training others, you lack the ability to accurately "make the best decisions possible using available evidence".
You shouldn't base your knowledge or your own training on self-read research. You lack the ability to think pragmatically and lack the education, expertise and training experience to combine research and training together, also known as Evidence-Based Practice (EBP) or in this case, Evidence-Based Training EBT.
Training like the subjects in a study you just read has obvious flaws. When a study is conducted, researchers have to create a program that is not too time intensive for the researchers and the participants, and they have to cater to the lowest capability level of the participant cohort (within the specific population) to ensure completion. The necessity of these concessions results in pretty unrealistic training programs compared to the real world. [.]
If you've been consistently training for a few years while logging and manipulating training variables over time to further your progress then a shiny new routine based on a single instance of not yet replicated research that's results are based on reported averages of many individuals might (very likely will) be worse than what you are currently doing.
This is why consistency within the flexible guidelines we have will yield better results over time, rather than constantly jumping ship on training programs in search for a theoretical "Optimal" without learning anything.
  • As you train, you should be accumulating data over time so that you can see what variable is causing what. You change one variable at a time whilst keeping the other variables the same. Prioritize consistency and adherence that way you can consistently see trends in programming as in, when you modify X variable, Y happens.

How science gets misused in the fitness industry

[.]
Jumping from new study to applied practice is also just a bad idea in general. The fitness industry is also no stranger to credentialled BS peddlers that do this as well.
This section highlights some more common flaws that the novice "Science-Based" PubMed-ninja unknowingly has, why education and experience in EBP/EBT matters and how science can be misused to take advantage of beginners/novices that are in search of optimal.
Growing muscle is something that we all care about as bodybuilders. However, the actual measurement of say, muscle thickness, muscle cross-sectional area change or lean body mass change in a research setting is not the same as measuring the mechanism by which we grow muscle.
For example, the mechanism of adding protein, (muscle protein synthesis), is not the same as the actual measurement of muscle thickness by, say, ultrasound. Often times we will see researchers, practitioners and scientific authors who write about studies, go:
"Look at this! This approach increased muscle protein synthesis the most! Therefore this is what we should do in practice!"
That's essentially jumping from mechanism to practice which carries some significant issues because often in the body the final outcome of what we see is due to many many many mechanisms. Even though there might be a dominant mechanism, it can be affected by so many other things and we're only aware of the mechanisms that we are currently aware of.
In terms of how to stimulate hypertrophy, we don't know everything on a mechanistic basis in terms of what's going on to actually cause muscle growth. [.]
Physiology and the body are extremely complex. So when you make the jump from mechanism to practice, it's a very arrogant thing to do and more often than not you'll end up being wrong or at least partially misinformed so that's something that can be problematic.
Optional read
A good example of this is there's a study by Mitchell et al, that found there was not a correlation between muscle protein synthesis and actual muscle gain over the course of a training study.
Now, this doesn't mean that we totally dismiss muscle protein synthesis we just have to be aware of the limitations. So if you understand the way the mechanism is studied then you can start to understand why you shouldn't bet the whole farm on it.
Muscle protein synthesis typically is a study that lasts hours rather than days, weeks or months which is the length that's really necessary to measure the change in muscle growth, instead, it's a snapshot often done in a fasted setting, after not normal training in a laboratory. It's also really just measuring what the movement, kinetics or how amino acids in the blood are taken to and from the muscle. That's not the same as actually building muscle over time.
Really you're just getting a one-off snapshot over a few hours and we don't know necessarily what muscle protein breakdown looks like or how that plays out over the long term or what compensatory things are going on in the body so it's just basically a big leap of faith to go directly from mechanism to practice.

What is Evidence-Based Training?

This is where you need to learn the difference between science-based and evidence-based. Otherwise, you will be taken advantage of.
"Evidence-based" does not mean to simply go by the research. Research only provides guidelines for applied practice. The true evidence-based practitioner synthesizes what we know from research and uses his personal expertise in the context of the individual to optimize results. [Image]
Source
What is Evidence-Based Practice?Highlighted what I think more should focus on
Evidence-Based Training
Evidence-Based practice in lifting, when done right, is where people with real education, expertise and vast coaching experience, analyze data and combine the best up to date research with their own coaching experience to bring you guidelines and recommendations that can be tailored to the individual so that they can train in a way that is best for them.
The guidelines we have available are ones most agree on. They are very flexible and you can easily manipulate the variables to create a good program that is tailored to the individual.
Real, practical, Evidence-Based Training practices and recommendations that you can get from good coaches/researchers like Helms, Menno, Israetel, etc by example, is in my opinion, the best way to go about it.
Here's in-depth about how to go about getting evidence-based recommendations as someone that doesn't want to read literature or have the expertise required to do so.

Criticism of the Evidence-Based Community

Training Guidelines/Recommendations (<- Evidence-Based Guidelines. Not actually complicated, is it?)
As said earlier, the best way to go about EBT is to get it from actual qualified people. That said, there are still those in the evidence-based community that:
  • Came from being science-based and still try to mix the two even though they are still unqualified to do so. They often still look at new, unapplied research as stone-tablets instead of interesting discussion points.
  • Although they are now getting said research from more qualified sources like Schoenfeld, Helms, etc, instead of the Pubmed search bar, which is a step up, they still jump from mechanism to applied practice.
The biggest ones in my opinion is that there are those in the community that:
  • Look at Evidence-Based Guidelines as rules instead of recommendations.
  • Often prescribe exact volume and RPE amounts to trainees without considering their training history. Tailoring a program to the individual based on recommendations/training history/personal preferences is what makes it EBT.
  • Are scared of overtraining (There's a limit on per session stimulus, but actually overtraining is hard to do). Example: Remember that 10-20 sets per week recommendation from earlier? 21 sets for them would = "Overtraining".
  • Don't factor in that novices are notoriously bad at using more advanced things like for example, self-measuring RPE and shouldn't be using it. That using things like that actually does overcomplicate things for them.
  • Regardless of if the trainee is actually getting progressive overload and making progress, they are "Training wrong" because it doesn't follow either how they themselves train with said guidelines or a recent, not yet applied study.
  • Also don't believe in individual response. You may see some recommend guidelines but you may never see them say "But make sure to log your training and manipulate variables over time. That way you make progression easier and end up with the best program for yourself". Which is what guidelines are meant to do. They are not absolute rules, they are recommendations.

Training Guidelines are Recommendations, Not Rules.

[.]
Don’t look at the volume, intensity and frequency guidelines as rules. Just because the number of sets you see recommended is generally in the 10–20 range, performing 9 sets, for example, doesn’t mean you won’t grow at all and performing 21 sets doesn’t mean you will overtrain and regress.
When looking to compare other programs, remember, you can make a good high intensity, high volume, or high-frequency program if you smartly adjust training variables.
Also remember, studies report averages, but each person is an individual and there are always outliers who will do best on substantially more or less volume or a lower or higher frequency than what is recommended.
This means you may find an “optimal” approach that falls outside of these general guidelines — “optimal” for you if you adapt to it.
There isn’t a right or wrong way to train. Guidelines are all about getting you in a ballpark of the right place to start so that you can adjust from there.

Criticisms of the Gym Bro/"Just lift" Community

[.]
In fitness there are those that mindlessly give and follow "Just train hard" or "Just lift" advice. It's fine advice to the right person, but by it'self, it isn't an actual training strategy or helpful. These people end up not knowing how to break through training plateaus when they hit them and delay others that follow their advice from furthering their knowledge and structuring their training in a way that they can easily measure and manipulate training variables so that they know what to adjust when they plateau with their "Just lift" recommendation.
What they mean when they say they "Train hard" is "I train @RPE 10, 30 sets a week while you losers are trying to figure out how to train on easy RPE 7's-8's. Man up, stop reading and lift".
There definitely are people that get caught up in the details and would be better off if they just lifted without giving much thought until they hit their first plateau. "Just lift" is a proper response to most in the "Science-Based" crowd mentioned earlier. However, there are people that take this advice a step further, they will give the same advice to an intermediate+.
That said, the ones I am talking about:
  • They think that training to failure is a training strategy, one that is tied into how hard they lift in the gym, thus their ego as well, and think it's the only thing they'll ever need for constant linear progression.
  • Often times are beginners in their first 6 months-1.5 years of lifting consistently and are bad at estimating RPE, thus they think they are going to real muscular failure even if they aren't which fuels the "Everyone must be training lazy except for me" attitude.
  • They think that they found the secret formula to lifting because they've made rapid progress their first 6 months to a year (Everyone does), thus, they think they know more about lifting than they actually do.
  • They often can't understand why some training strategies like RPE, RIR and Periodization exist and think they only serve to overcomplicate training or were invented by "nerds" so that they could train easier.
  • They think that if you're training strategically, you aren't training hard.
  • They don't realize that training strategically and training 'hard' aren't mutually exclusive and that they are presenting a false dichotomy.
  • They tend to be very stubborn, refuse to hear from those training longer than them until they start hitting plateaus and/or getting injured. Because again, "Training hard" without a more strategic regimen doesn't help you through plateaus once you've been training seriously for a few years.
When people assume a ‘side’, they often buckle down on their beliefs, refute information from those outside their camp and regurgitate the opinions held by their group leaders.
Instead of watching a 20min video about why we have things like RPE, Periodization, EBT Guidelines etc they call it "Overcomplicating Training" say "While you were watching this, I was actually at the gym!".
Yet they'll gladly watch a 20min video of their favorite opinionated Youtuber that confuses science-based with evidence-based, discredits reputable training strategies by advanced physique athletes/coaches/researchers who are more qualified than them by calling people that use these practices "lazy", just wanting to "train easy" and saying things like "Just train hard!" without realizing the false dichotomy they're presenting, or showing which group of people they're referring to. Beginners? Advanced?
Not only is this kind of polarisation super unproductive for discourse, but often deleterious to those who follow blindly and cannot think critically for themselves.

Closing Statements

[.]
Typically, opinions are dogmatic or extreme and viewpoints are often blindsided by personal bias. Our individual beliefs of what constitutes ‘effective’ are always limited to our personal experiences, and I want this to be a reminder: Many coaches, experts and brothers/sisters of the iron discuss such topics in a vacuum, isolate a specific detail and fail to think conceptually or pragmatically.
Much like a pendulum swings from side to side, when looking to answer questions in ‘fitness’, opinions on training are no different.
It’s easy to grasp extremes and look at things in black and white. It requires less brainpower and very little critical thinking.
Walking the middle ground is somewhat dull and onerous. It requires a degree of intellect, a thirst for knowledge, a knack to discern and dissect information and the ability to integrate that information into any given context.
Extreme viewpoints fueled by personal bias eventually traps you in a plateau cycle by stopping you from exploring other training strategies and therefore hinders your long term progression.
Here's what assessing and adjusting training looks like when it's based around simple guidelines:
Flow Chart
As you train, you should be accumulating data over time so that you can see what variable is causing what. You change one variable at a time whilst keeping the other variables the same. Prioritize consistency and adherence that way you can consistently see trends in programming as in, when you modify X variable, Y happens.

It's simple and it's because hypertrophy training is not that complicated.

submitted by Bottingbuilder to naturalbodybuilding [link] [comments]

7 Ways to Choose The Right Sports Betting Site

1. Trusted websites

Reading website reviews ensures that bookmakers play by the rules, pay out winners and are fair and friendly with their customer service. If they do not, punters may be forced to contact management officials to outline the problems and apply pressure to have the situation resolved.
Doing your own research is the hardest way to choose a sports betting site. It’s time consuming, and you may find it difficult to get all the information you need. Nonetheless, it’s an approach that you should consider. Just make sure you do it correctly.
Nobody wants a bad experience with any company they do business with, and online betting sites are no different. That’s why punters need to do their homework in advance and find out as much about them as possible. You should ask yourself at least these questions:
1. What deposit options are available? 2. Does the bookmaker offer bonuses for an initial deposit and/or to re-deposit funds into an account? 3. How difficult is it to withdraw money from the account? 4. How many different betting options are offered on the sports gambling site? (For example do they offer in-play betting?)
These are all important questions that need to be answered by the punter before deciding to make a deposit.

2. Read online reviews

Another way to choose where to bet is to read third party reviews online and talk to fellow punters. Online bookmakers with positive reviews on multiples sources, feedback and comments from current customers and your own additional research will help you choose trusted brand.
Each review should contain information including deposit options available, bonuses on offer, sports covered, and various betting options. Thus providing a real insight into what it is like to use the site - ultimately this is what really matters.

3. Website promotions and offers

There are a number of factors that punters need to take into account when choosing a top online bookmaker. Bonuses, free bets and concessions should be at the forefront of punters minds, and they significantly vary by bookmaker. Acquiring bonuses can provide a powerful boost to punters winnings, especially when it comes to those betting for the first time.
Bookmakers are battling with their competitors to offer potential new customers a reason to choose their company over another, so there’s plenty of a choice available before you decide to sign up.

4. Competitive odds and payment options

Most bookmakers are expanding the number of payment methods they offer to clients – however there are huge differences between them. The major European firms have debit/credit cards, e-wallets, prepaid cards, bank transfers, cheques and much more.
Customers in some countries, where there are restrictions may be limited to only using e-wallets (providing a degree of anonymity), and that will dictate which bookmakers they can use.
Furthermore, does the sport betting site have payment security certificates on their websites like Skrill, Trustly, MasterCard or Verified by Visa? And are they using a secure and encrypted https domain?
Obviously, the competitiveness of odds is vital when choosing a bookmaker. Punters want to find the best possible value in their selections. Therefore, having an account with a bookmaker who works to small margins is important. However, more importantly the bookmaker must be willing to lay a decent bet at the odds advertised. There are some bookmakers out there who offer fantastic odds, but when customers try to place a bet on those odds, they are unable to receive the advertised rate. Ensure the bookmaker you choose does not do this by placing a small bet first.

5. What sports do the bookmakers cover?

Betting on football is by far the most popular sport to bet on, and most bookmakers have an expansive betting section for the beautiful game – including live betting. However, plenty of punters have a passion (and expertise) for other sports, and an individual’s preferences for a particular sport can dictate which bookmaker is most suitable for their needs.
For instance, Northern European firms tend to offer odds on Handball, Ice Hockey and Basketball sections as the sports are popular in the region and the bookmakers who compile the odds are confident enough in their knowledge to go against the punters. The major UK websites offer betting on horse and dog racing, but a large number of their European counterparts do not (horse racing markets require significant resources and constant attention as the odds continuously change).
Location also matters within each individual sport as well. For instance, a Chinese bookmaker is likely to have extensive knowledge for Chinese football than a bookmaker operating out of the Caribbean. Therefore the suitability of a bookmaker can depend on its location and where the punter is based.

6. Online customer service is essential

Unlike Las Vegas, where you can physically visit a bookmaker at a casino resort; online gaming sites and sportsbooks are essentially virtual casinos that accept real money to wager on real sporting events. However, this does not mean an online bookmakers address is only located on the internet.
Any reputable online bookmaker will have a physical address located on its website along with contact information you can use to call them and ask questions if needed. Trusted bookmakers will even have an FAQ section you can read to help you feel more comfortable about betting with them.
Another important source you can use to research online betting sites is social media. Every trustworthy site should have a presence on Facebook as a valuable customer service tool. Some sites are active on Twitter and even have different Twitter accounts in different languages.
Following and/or “Liking” the bookmaker enables punters to see how the company communicates and interacts with potential and current customers, giving them another level of trust, integrity and the necessary knowledge needed to make the right decision when the time comes to place a bet with them.
If a bookmaker is very responsive on social media, you can see that they really care about their customers and want to resolve issues in a timely and efficient manner.

7. Help center and support articles

Top bookmakers will have invaluable resources online to empower you to get started. This maybe articles on responsible gaming to a company blog that provides the latest sports betting tips and tactics to maximize your bets.
An online bookmaker that makes the effort on updating a regular blog provides punters with a sustained integrity that disreputable bookmakers do not have.
Blog and help center articles demonstrate to punters not only is there an actual team behind managing the online website, but the bookmaker is professional and knowledgeable in sports and the industry as well. Meaning that you can determine why the bookmaker is offering certain odds based on the topics and expertise written in their blog articles.
submitted by PresentType to sportsbetKRinfomore [link] [comments]

A bit bored, so I figure I’d type up some tips and advice you’ve probably all heard 100 times. If you’re new, these are the things I wish someone would have told me.

TL;DR at the bottom.
Disclaimer: I’m fairly new at sports betting, but I feel like I’ve learned a lot in a short time. I also don’t make huge bets. I like parlays, and usually bet NFL, NBA, College football only. I have $100 salary PER MONTH, and do this for entertainment. So take what I say with some grains of salt.
  1. The biggest thing I would suggest is to track your bets. All of them. I created a very basic spreadsheet. I enter where I made the bet, how much I put down, and the return. This has helped me control my spending IMMENSELY. Every bet has a visual consequence or reward. If you are wanting to set limits, you would do yourself a disservice to not keep track of each dollar that leaves your wallet. It may seem like “too much work” (what my friends told me), but it has some psychological advantages- at least for me.
  2. TRUST NO ONE BUT YOURSELF. Okay, that’s a bit intense, so let me clarify. We live in a time of information overload. Articles, “experts”, Twitter, etc. sure, they can help and you may make a profit from the advice you glean. However, there is nothing worse than taking blind advice and having it lose. I’m not perfect, I made this mistake today. I had a 5 leg parlay and a guy behind me in the long line said “UCF is a lock for first half -6 today.” I got to talking to him and he convinced me that it was a lock. I threw it in my parlay and hoped for the best. Well, they were down 21-10 at the half (and lost the game as I type this). I felt awful about it. It was a $5 parlay so I’m not complaining by any means, but it was dumb to walk up confidently with my picks and be persuaded by a stranger.
  3. If you sort this sub by “Top posts of all time” you will quickly find stories of people who has given up sports betting. The similarities are very interesting. Two things they have in common are: chasing losses, and poor bankroll management. Thankfully, I have yet to experience this but plan to learn from everyone else’s experiences so I don’t have to! I think there’s a lot of people who have good advice on “bankroll management”, but having some idea of how much you can spend over a period of time, or how much you are going to bet per game is a good start. With my monthly allowance I don’t do “units” as most would suggest. Rather, I have “limits”. I won’t do a parlay over a certain amount, and I won’t make straight bet over a certain amount. Some may say this isn’t a good strategy, but it’s better than no strategy.
Again, I’m far from an expert and I’m new myself. But these are the things I wish I would have committed to doing before making any bets!
TL;DR - Track your bets in some fashion, trust yourself and your gut, and have some commitment to a bankroll management strategy - whatever works for your lifestyle. Feel free to add your own tips or critique mine below.
submitted by dishragJan to sportsbook [link] [comments]

Welcome to /r/CFB! Here is your 2019 Rules Refresher & Information post!

THE SEASON IS UPON US. PRAISE PORTAL!

Are you new here?

We would like to welcome you to the greatest place on the internet, /CFB! We are a community of nearly 600,000 college football fan...atics from all over the globe who live and breathe college football. There is just something about college football that grabs you and makes you want to scream at a TV or a ref all day on Saturdays (or other days, if you've got some MACgic). We should warn you, however, that college football is not for the faint of heart.
There are countless CFB teams for you to root for - in the US and around the world. We guarantee you've got a college football team nearby. We do our best to cover them all.
Once you have found a team to support you should consider picking up a flair to show your fandom and pride. /CFB has over 2,300 unique flairs to choose from. /CFB currently has the ability for dual flairs. This allows you to show your fandom for two teams or your team and its conference, or even show your support for BelkBowl and wear a flair for your favorite bowl game!
Each Saturday there will be a number of Game Threads where discussion for each game goes on. For the Featured Games on the sidebar, CFB_Referee will post a Featured Game Thread an hour before kickoff. If you don't see a thread for the game you are watching, feel free to make one with our Game Thread Creator!
Here are some links you should visit...
We recommend you take a moment to read the rules and the post rules before posting so you don't violate one by accident. Look for threads already happening on a topic to add your take. Look for weekly threads (see below) to ask questions or share specific ideas. If you're not sure? Send us a modmail to ask!
Also of note, due to our use of CSS, we think /CFB is best viewed on Old Reddit. We're doing our best to get things fixed and updated to work with New Reddit, but it doesn't always work the way we want yet.

What happened during the offseason?

To check out more /CFB OC click here.

Rule Refresher

Here at /CFB we have some pretty simple rules - you can read all of them here. For a refresher, here is a TL;DR of some of the important ones to keep in mind.
No flair based downvoting.
The downvote button does not exist to put down teams you don't like, people you don't like, or opinions you don't like. Instead, use it to get rid of trolls or bad content. Downvoting just because of flair makes Coach Snyder sad. Don't make Coach Snyder sad.
No flamebait, personal attacks or harassment.
Have a good time on /CFB and be nice. No argument is worth getting into on the internet. We encourage strong debates and good discussion but if it ultimately comes down to "You are wrong, I am right" and name calling you will be banned. Examples, while not comprehensive, include instances like you calling someone an idiot, telling them you hope they die, claim all fans of X team are Y horrible thing... these are just a few examples of Rule 2 violations.
No racism, homophobia, sexism, or other bigotry.
Seriously. Discussing college football should never lead to this. Remember, this is a place to talk about football, that's it. One of the great things about /CFB is that it isn't the ESPN or AL.com comment sections - it's a welcoming place for fans of all teams, regardless of who you are. This also means no jokes about rape AND it means no using rape or rape scandals as flamebait.
Tweets must be made as self-posts.
To cut down on Tweet-spam, all direct Twitter links will be removed.
No word-for-word pasting of paywall content.
We can't allow users to repost content from paid sites. There is a reason the paywall exists and writers deserve the money. Feel free to quickly summarize an article, though, or include a very brief quote.
No stream links.
Reddit as a whole is cracking down on this. Do not link to illegal stream sites or to subreddits aggregating those links. Discussion about options like Hulu Live, You Tube TV, etc. are allowed, but keep in mind that quality master lists have been posted already and generic requests for cord cutter options may be removed.
No which team/fanbase is X threads.
Threads designed to put down other teams or fanbases will be removed. We want posts that encourage positive discussion and debate, not collective hate. We have had plenty of these threads in the past and there is no reason to have anymore. Example thread titles include "Which fanbase is most delusional?" and "Which team do you irrationally hate?"
Reporting
While this isn't a rule, it does help us make sure the rules get applied consistently. We can't be everywhere, so that means we need you to help out by reporting posts or comments that break the rules. You may have noticed the new options for reporting comments and submissions - hopefully this will make things easier! PLUS if you respond and break the rules yourself, you risk a ban. Just hit report and let us handle it.
Tweets
DON'T TWEET AT CROOTS. DON'T TWEET AT PORTAL SACRIFICES.
A few new things...
  • We're added a rule forbidding Buy/Sell/Trade Posts. We just have no way to verify that people posting these classifieds aredoing or will do what they claim, so we're going to be removing any such threads.
  • We're not going to allow tweets or direct information from family members as a source for recruiting news. We've had too many moments of parents or random relatives saying something the players then have to refute. In order for a source to be considered trustworthy, information must come from the recruit himself, a school official (such as a SID or coach), or a legitimate news source staking their journalistic reputation on that reporting.

Weekly Threads

Now that the season is beginning, weekly threads will be back up. We have at least one thread each day. CFP Ranking threads begin the week those rankings are released. Use them! Other threads that cover this information will be removed.
Day Thread Time (ET) Additional Information
Monday MS Paint Monday Varies Theme varies week to week.
The Monday Morning Playoff Committee 12:00 PM A place for you to share playoff hypotheticals.
Betting Discussion Thread 1:00 PM Discuss spreads, oveunders, and prop bets for this week's games.
Tuesday Best of /CFB 10:55 AM Post your nominations for the best posts and comments' from this week on /CFB!
Weekly /CFB Poll Discussion 11:00 AM Discuss /CFB's own poll.
CFB Podcasts & Other Homegrown Media 11:00 AM Share links to and information about podcasts, shows, or material you've made yourself.
Pick 'Em Thread 12:00 PM Talk about your picks for the week.
Trivia Tuesday Varies Compete to win.
CFP Rankings Show 6:45 PM Will begin once the CFP rankings start.
CFP Committee Rankings 8:00 PM Will begin once the CFP rankings start.
CFP Rankings - Serious Discussion 8:00 PM Will begin once the CFP rankings start.
Wednesday Prediction 11:00 AM Make your predictions.
Dear CFB: Going to a Game Advice Thread 2:00 PM Ask for advice about going to a game or where to watch one!
Whose Line is it Wednesday* Varies
Thursday User-Friendly Bet 10:55 AM Put your flair where your mouth is.
TRASH TALK THURSDAY 11:00 AM YOU KNOW WHAT TO DO.
Friday Football Question Hotline 10:55 AM Got a football question? Get an answer.
Free Talk Friday 11:00 AM Tell us about you.
Saturday General Discussion: Talk Anything College Football Here! 8:00 AM A general space for chatter throughout the day and talk about non-ESPN Gameday style shows.
Today's Game Index Varies
ESPN's College Football Gameday 9:00 AM Share your signs.
Picture/Video/GIFs 9:00 AM Share pictures, highlights, and gifs from games throughout the day.
[Game Thread] Non-FBS Games 11:00 AM A place to discuss non-FBS games.
Featured Games Varies CFB_Referee posted.
/CFB After Dark - Late Night Discussion Thread 10:00 PM Late night college football.
Sunday Post-CFP Selections 9:00 AM Will begin once the CFP rankings start.
Serious Postgame Discussion Thread 10:55 AM A thread for serious discussion only.
Complain About Your Team 11:00 AM You know you're going to want to at some point.
AP Poll 1:55 PM Will be updated as the results come out.
/CFB Weekly Schedule 5:00 PM A thread with reminders about that week's upcoming threads, when weekly threads are, etc.
Due to volume of submissions, the threads for the AP Poll, and CFP Rankings will be posted automatically by CFB_Referee. The Coaches Poll however is open to being posted as links. Whoever posts first wins. Please be sure to link to the official websites for each poll. Duplicates will be removed.
This year we're also bringing back last year's weekly conference threads for the ACC, B1G, Big XII, Pac-12, SEC, and Other. We'll post the first ones as part of our pre-season schedule, but after that we have assigned regular users who will post them through our system.

Social Media

In case you don't know, /CFB is very active in social media. We have several accounts to make sure you don't miss out on all of the action.
If you are at a tailgate or game and want to share a picture, DM it to us on Twitter or Instagram and we may share it. We are always trying to get a nationwide look into college football each Saturday!
Twitter
Instagram
Pintrest
Periscope
Discord

Final Thoughts

This season will be the biggest and busiest season in /CFB's history. We've jumped to nearly 600,000 football fans with more joining every day. We continue to grow and push our outreach even farther, adding more CFB media coverage and outreach, new AMAs, and new options for our users. But remember, /CFB is built by you, the user. Without the daily content and thousands of comments, /CFB would be a barren place. We pride ourselves on being the best subreddit on reddit and we are doing our best to keep it that way. With so many users, there are bound to be a few bad apples. Don't let them steer you away. Let's do our best to welcome new users and educate them on the sport we all know and love. Here is to more touchdowns, more fans, and another amazing season on /CFB.
submitted by CFB_Referee to CFB [link] [comments]

3/02 Free Betting Predictions, Tips, Advice and Trends! MLB Spring Training Free Play Today!

3/02 Free Betting Predictions, Tips, Advice and Trends! MLB Spring Training Free Play Today!
https://preview.redd.it/d3y82odjwbk41.jpg?width=851&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=79759488dd73a20f27b207415dca9f03c5992525

3/02 Free Betting Predictions, Tips, Advice and Trends! MLB Spring Training Free Play Today!

Get in on the March Madness Marathon - $325 Gets The RedAlertWagers.com Pre-Filled March Madness Bracket + All MAC's Picks through March including all Red Alerts and Special Release Plays - all members get a official stress reliever squeeze ball that will save your fingers from all the college hoops nail biter games!

Website: RedAlertWagers.com
Contact: [[email protected]](mailto:[email protected])
Phone: THE RED LINE - (Toll-Free @ 1-844-334-2613)
The Red Line - (Toll-Free @ 1-844-334-2613) - Text The Red Line to get a free exclusive release prediction.
Follow The MAC on Social Media:
Twitter.com/RedAlertWagers
Facebook.com/RedAlertWagers
Reddit.com/useTheMACSPicks
Instagram.com/RedAlertWagers
MAC Media:
The Reddit Sports Report
The Red Alert Report
(NEW) - The NBABETS Sub-Reddit - Picks, Trends, Odds, on the very best NBA Games!
The MAC'S Instant Access Red Pass: 1 Day Only Access RED PASS: $14.99 - Pay By Phone: Call The Red Line & Follow Automated Instructions (Payments Processed via © Stripe)
(MAR 02) - MAC will be getting it done the way it's supposed to be done with 3 special release games on tap tonight! 1 NHL Major Move Alert - 7:38 Colorado Avalanche vs Detroit Red Wings & 2 Exclusive NCAAB Plays - HUSH MONEY ACTION - 9:00 Texas Tech +7.5 vs Baylor -7.5 + A Backroom Info Angle that will be another classic example of why they dub Roland MAC McGuillaman the most venerable betting source on the internet - There's a reason THE MAC has been dubbed THE PAYMASTER by bookmakers this college basketball season, picking games against the spread & sending a signal through the noise!

3/02 - 3 Top Rated & Exclusive Release Plays + 3 Red Alert Picks - 55 UNITS

Special Release Plays: 30 UNITS

  • 9:00 NCAAB Hush Money Pick - Texas Tech +7.5 vs Baylor -7.5
  • 7:30 NCAAB Backroom Info Play - MD Eastern Shore +2 vs Howard -2
  • 7:38 NHL Major Move Alert - Colorado Avalanche vs Detroit Red Wings
1 Month of all access $25.00

RED ALERT PLAYS - 25 UNITS

  • 7:00 NC State +12.5 vs Duke -12.5
  • 8:30 Alabama A&M Bulldogs vs Prairie View A&M Panthers
  • 7:30 Memphis Grizzlies +2 vs Atlanta Hawks -2
(MAR 02) MAC GOT CRUSHED LAST NIGHT - A RARE NIGHT FOR THE MAC AS HE HAD SOME HEAVY LOSSES, NOT BEING PHASED IS THE NAME OF THE GAME TONIGHT!! 3 SPECIAL RELEASE PICKS + 3 RED ALERT PLAYS START @ 7:00!
Red Alert Patreon Members now get The MAC'S personal wagers as a units per play system, betting the strongest information and games with odds that have very best optimal value/risk reward. The Mac will once again prove why they continuously acclaim him to be a National Treasure as he will cracking them open and cleaning them out with 3 Red Alerts Picks Tonight! NBA Red Alert - 7:30 Memphis Grizzlies +2 vs Atlanta Hawks -2 + 2 Big Game Red Alert CBB Picks and for Top Rated Patrons, MAC is moving heavy on special release action, 2 CBB bets and a NHL Major Move Alert on the Colorado Avalanche vs Detroit Red Wings total set at 5.5! Roland is anticipating a huge rebound day, and Red Alerts Picks are cash in the bank making interest!
The NBABETS Sub-Reddit - (Free Play: Russell Westbrook will have more PTS than Giannis Antetokounmpo and Luka Doncic tonight +170)
MAC GOT HIS LAST NIGHT - CBB HUSH MONEY ACTION NOW 37-15 FOR THE SEASON - MAC will be getting it done the way it's supposed to be done with 3 special release games on tap tonight! 1 NHL Major Move Alert - 7:38 Colorado Avalanche vs Detroit Red Wings & 2 Exclusive NCAAB Plays - HUSH MONEY ACTION - 9:00 Texas Tech +7.5 vs Baylor -7.5 + A Backroom Info Angle that will be another classic example of why they dub Roland MAC McGuillaman the most venerable betting source on the internet. The MAC has been picking off games all season and March Madness is his specialty, ripping down office pools and NCAAB March Madness Contests is just what the MAC does.
9:00 - NCAAB Hush Money Pick - Texas Tech +7.5 vs Baylor -7.5
Tonight's The Mac has a Big 12 Hush Money game play on the Red Raiders vs Baylor Bears! The Red raiders are 18 - 11 (3 - 6 Road) with a ATS record of 13 - 16 - 0(4 - 5 - 0 Road). The Baylor Bears are ranked second in the Big 12 standings and 4th over all while holding a ATS record of 18 - 10 - 0 (7 - 7 - 0 Home). Both teams are hunting for a championship and with Baylor having their last game against West Virginia this game could make a big difference for both teams. The Bears are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss and are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Texas Tech Red Raiders are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog but are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
The stock market is crashing and MAC's answering back with the very best college basketball sports investments available - MAC has the play at Patreon and on the Red Pass tonight - $25.00 Gets all MAC's Top Rated & Special Release Picks for 1 Month - $25.00 1 Month of all exclusive info CBB picks!
Tonight our Top Rated Exclusive Play Members will be getting in on MAC'S NCAAB MAJOR MOVE PLAY on the 4:00 SOUTHERN MISS vs UTEP O/U 129 USA Conference show down plus all of tonight's Red Alert College Basketball & NBA Predictions.
THE MAC HAS NBA GAME RED ALERT PLAY - 7:30 Memphis Grizzlies +2 vs Atlanta Hawks -2 a Low Key NBA Game - A 5 UNIT play that holds the value we strive for when researching odds, trends and stats - MAC has been hitting the NBA Action hard and averaging around 63% this year for NBA bettors.
  • Hawks are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
  • Hawks are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 home games.
  • Grizzlies are 6-13 ATS in the last 19 meetings in Atlanta.
  • Grizzlies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.

(MAR 02) Monday's Free Special Wager Picks Below!

THE MAC'S TOP RATED RELEASE COLLEGE BASKETBALL RED ALERT PLAYS ARE UNSTOPPABLE THIS YEAR! - NCAAB Backroom Info Play - MD Eastern Shore +2 vs Howard -2 - (A mismatch game + A telling line = CBB CASH $) + Free MLB Spring Training Winner Today!
Red Alert Wagers SS LLC Exclusive Releases & Red Alert Free Plays exhibit why Roland "The Roarin MAC" McGuillaman's reputation as THE PAYMASTER is galvanized in the gambling underworld as a dangerous low key sharp! He doesn't know where you been, but The MACS been dicking down the sports betting game since the Star Dust was the place to get a high end hooker and a cocktail! Baseball is almost back and MAC has a lean on the Philadelphia Phillies +110 vs Atlanta Braves -130 6:00 Spring Training game + 2 Basketball MAC ATTACK Picks and some look ahead Exclusive MMA Releases today! March Madness is getting closer and MAC has been the man to go to for brackets, bust open your office pools and take all you're dorky co-workers cash with professional top rated March Madness Picks and Vegas tournament grade CBB bracket.
**PREMIUM PLAYS*\*
CBB RED ALERT PLAY (MAR 02) - (7:30 Memphis Grizzlies +2 vs Atlanta Hawks -2)
CBB RED ALERT PLAY (MAR 02) - (7:00 NC State +12.5 vs Duke -12.5)
CBB RED ALERT PLAY (MAR 02) - (8:30 Alabama A&M Bulldogs vs Prairie View A&M Panthers)
Special Release Plays
NHL MAJOR MOVE (MAR 02) - (7:38 Colorado Avalanche vs Detroit Red Wings)
NCAAB BACKROOM INFO (MAR 02) - (7:30 MD Eastern Shore +2 vs Howard -2)
CBB HUSH MONEY PLAY (MAR 02) - (9:00 Texas Tech +7.5 vs Baylor -7.5)

DAILY MAC ATTACK FREE PICKS

**FREE DAILY FUN PLAY TEASER & PARLAY PICKS*\*
**Build your own personal player prop-parlay at MyBookie*\*
FUN PLAY 2 TEAM MIX GAME PARLAY (MAR 02) - (MLB - Philadelphia Phillies +110 vs CBB - Duke -12.5)
FREE PLAYER PROP PARLAY (MAR 02) - (Russell Westbrook will have more PTS than Giannis Antetokounmpo and Luka Doncic tonight +170)
**EARLY INFO FREE RELEASES*\*
EXCLUSIVE GOLF EASY MONEY - ARNOLD PALMER INVITATIONAL (MAR 05) - (Hideki Matsuyama +2000)
EXCLUSIVE MMA EASY MONEY - UFC 248 (MAR 07) - (Joanna Jedrzejczyk +159)
EXCLUSIVE F-1 EASY MONEY - F-1 DRIVERS CHAMPIONSHIP (MAR 12) - (Max Verstappen +500)
submitted by TheMACSPicks to nbabetting [link] [comments]

(FEB 29) 2-1 on Red Alerts Last Night & MAC CRUSHED ANOTHER CBB HUSH MONEY PLAY - (PENNSYLVANIA +8.5) + 3 NCAAB RED ALERT WAGER PICKS TONIGHT!

(FEB 29) 2-1 on Red Alerts Last Night & MAC CRUSHED ANOTHER CBB HUSH MONEY PLAY - (PENNSYLVANIA +8.5) + 3 NCAAB RED ALERT WAGER PICKS TONIGHT!
MyBookie

Daily Free MAC ATTACK Plays Below!

Website: RedAlertWagers.com Contact: [email protected] Become a Member - Join The Patreon - $25 Text THE RED LINE For Tonight's Free MAC ATTACK PLAYS! Phone: THE RED LINE - (Toll-Free @ 1-844-334-2613) Follow The MAC on Social Media: Twitter.com/RedAlertWagers Facebook.com/RedAlertWagers Instagram.com/RedAlertWagers Reddit.com/useTheMACSPicks MAC Media: The Reddit Sports Report The Red Alert Report The MAC'S Instant Access Red Pass: 1 Day Only Access RED PASS: $14.99 - Pay By Phone: Call The Red Line & Follow Automated Instructions (Payments Processed via © Stripe)
NBABETS
https://preview.redd.it/6puypx35rxj41.jpg?width=2500&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=c6e22485fd1b7802c9c9dedef1ec99e69b6ee94e
(FEB 29) 2-1 on Red Alerts Last Night & MAC CRUSHED ANOTHER CBB HUSH MONEY PLAY - (PENNSYLVANIA +8.5) + 3 NCAAB RED ALERT WAGER PICKS TONIGHT! Red Alert Patreon Members now get The MAC'S personal wagers as a units per play system, betting the strongest information and games with odds that have very best optimal value/risk reward. The Mac will once again prove why they continuously acclaim him to be a National Treasure! Cracking them open and cleaning them out last night, MAC's Red Alerts go 2-1, Penn covered easily as a 8.5 underdog and our Red Alerts are just cash in the bank!
Premium Play & Top Rated Release earnings are up substantially, College Hoops Plays are more than impressive this year, and tonight's CBB Action is set to go our direction. The MAC has a full card today and he is getting the all the geetus with conviction, he did his homework and is keeping open lines of discourse between his consensus groups and other affiliated player syndicates across the country. There's a reason THE MAC has been dubbed THE PAYMASTER by bookmakers this college basketball season, picking games against the spread & sending a signal through the noise!
(FEB 29) MAC GOT HIS LAST NIGHT - CBB HUSH MONEY ACTION NOW 36-13 FOR THE SEASON - Getting another win on the Quakers +8.5, MAC's hush money plays are blowing the books open! The Quakers getting 8.5 points against a weak Yale team was just another example of how horrible the odds makers are this year. The MAC has been picking off games all season and March Madness is his specialty, ripping down office pools and NCAAB March Madness Contests is just what the MAC does. Tonight's Hush Money game between Montana +2 vs Sacramento State -2 starts at 10:00 and RedAlertWagers.com has the action that makes cash. The stock market is crashing and MAC's answering back with the very best college basketball sports investments available - MAC has the play at Patreon and on the Red Pass tonight - $25.00 Gets all MAC's Top Rated & Special Release Picks for 1 Month - $25.00 1 Month of all exclusive info CBB picks! Roland's been playing and fading these teams for years, knowing when to lay or take points with teams like the Seawolves, Gaels, River Hawks, & Governors has aggrandized THE MAC's reputation for his college hoops Hush Money Plays. This will be another game out of the public eye that will produce the quiet profits we expect. We pride our action by bringing the results that keep the people recommending THE MAC'S ATS COLLEGE BASKETBALL PICKS, making him one of the most venerable sources for expert college basketball predictions against the spread, and lionizing RedAlertWagers.com in and around sportsbooks and casinos!
Tonight our Top Rated Exclusive Play Members will be getting in on MAC'S NCAAB MAJOR MOVE PLAY on the Montana +2 vs Sacramento State -2 Big Sky show down plus all of tonight's Red Alert College Basketball & NBA Predictions. THE MAC HAS HIS LATE GAME RED ALERT PLAY - 10:00 - Pacific -4 vs San Diego +4 CBB Low Key Game - A 15 UNIT play that holds the value we strive for when researching odds, trends and stats - MAC has been hitting the CBB Action hard and averaging around 60% this year for NBA bettors.
  • Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
  • Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
  • Tigers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a road favorite.
  • Tigers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.
  • Tigers are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
  • Tigers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games.
  • Tigers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Saturday games.
  • Toreros are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Toreros are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Toreros are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
  • Toreros are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 90 points in their previous game.
College Basketball Season is how we make money, with dozens of games going off it's not easy for the average bettor to find a decent game to bet on, that's what RedAlertWagers.com is here for, we hit the angles and have the resources. Our Sports Consensus Groups are now focused on March Madness and we will be picking off NBA & NHL special release plays as we go! RedAlertWagers.com sports betting predictions are going the distance and there is no finish line!! The MAC is cocked, locked, & loaded as he has received what people call the industry standard of advice from national sports syndicates and consensus groups across the country MAC's CBB RED ALERTS are only available on Patreon.com and are included in the 1 Day Red Pass! CBB RED ALERT PLAY (FEB 29) - (8:00 - Cleveland State +8.5 vs Wisc Green Bay -8.5) CBB RED ALERT PLAY (FEB 29) - (8:00 - IPFW +10.5 vs Oral Roberts -10.5) CBB RED ALERT PLAY (FEB 29) - (10:00 Pacific -4 vs San Diego +4) CBB HUSH MONEY PLAY (FEB 29) - (10:00 Montana +2 vs Sacramento State -2)
The MAC is attacking today's hoops games with a fury, as he rolls from sportsbook to sportsbook hunting down the very best odds, info, and payouts! Patreon Plays are up and we are moving units and building a March Madness war chest!
As we start moving into March with some great teams making noise this season, the tournaments start opening up, pick'ems, bracket challenges, basketball pools, all the sponsors start looking for professional players to feature at their events and Vegas turns into a sharps dream, MAC will be ripping down every tournament that will grant his entry.
The Red Alert Wagers team has been hitting the sources and making the phones bleed with long hours of networking - Red Alert Plays have been been on fire and make no mistake our Exclusive Releases are incendiary picks, the game is making units for members and proving why they dub the MAC the Paymaster - RedAlertWagers.com plays to win & MAC plays for keeps - For all RedAlertWagers.com special release NBA and College Basketball picks go to Patreon.com/MACSPICKS or try our 1 Day Red Pass for $14.99
Top Rated Special Release Plays by Red Alert Wagers SS Consensus groups were impressive this Football Season, our NFL Major Move Alerts and Early Info Plays cracked bookies open and cleaned them out. College Hoops is cooking with gas, hitting over 69% on Top Rated Picks and imposing our will with unstoppable NCAAB HUSH MONEY PLAYS that are continuously breaking in house records this season. We don't go where the game is, we bring YOU where the money is! - $25 Gets 1 Month Special Release Action + All Red Alert Picks!
(FEB 29) Saturday's Free Special Wager Picks Below! THE MAC'S TOP RATED RELEASE COLLEGE BASKETBALL RED ALERT PLAYS ARE UNSTOPPABLE THIS YEAR! - LAST NIGHT'S NBA RED ALERT - Atlanta Hawks +3 was exactly what we excepted - (A mismatch game + A telling line = NBA CASH $) + MAC ATTACK picks go 2-1, it's just what MAC does. March Madness Marathon
Red Alert Wagers SS LLC Exclusive Releases & Red Alert Free Plays exhibit why Roland "The Roarin MAC" McGuillaman's reputation as THE PAYMASTER is galvanized in the gambling underworld as a dangerous low key sharp! He doesn't know where you been, but The MACS been dicking down the sports betting game since the Star Dust was the place to get a high end hooker and a cocktail! Thursday Night MAC Called the FREE PICK SWEEP, then went 3-0 on Daily MAC ATTACK Picks - Last Night MAC goes 2-1 on MAC ATTACK plays! Hittinb another NHL pick on the under in the Ducks Penguins game (Final 2-3) and smashing another NBA pick on The Hawks + 3 but Missing a fun play parlay - NBA - Miami Heat -4 X CBB - UT Arlington -1 - Look for MAC to get a sweep tonight!
RedAlertWagers.com has revamped the Patreon! - NEW Membership Tiers - $25 1 Month of MAC'S exclusive information personal wagers, what games to move heavy on and what games to move minor on, play and watch how a professional sports betting expert spreads his units, either you're betting with us or just haven't heard The Roland Roarin Mac McGuillaman​ ROAR - Join Now - $25.00 Top Rated + Special Release Action Join the Patreon - Starting @ $7 a month for Premium Red Alert Picks - Or take a 1 day ride with our Instant Access Red Pass - (1 Day Red Pass: $14.99) Red Pass Pay by Phone Access: Call The Red Line - Toll Free @ 1-844-334-2613 Follow Automated Instructions to gain access to our 1 Day Red Pass, once payment verification is confirmed, a access link will be text messaged to your phone, follow the link after payment. (Payments Processed via © Stripe) ****Take a 1 day ride with a RED PASS for $14.99 - All Of Today's Top Rated Plays & Premium Releases - 1 Time Fee - 1 day Access! ****
Not only is Roland calling games like a savage, The Mac is making record breaking earnings in 2020 - Bankroll Action now 8 weeks in the green, getting access to how a professional sports gambler moves units and collects $ consistently - PATREON 2020 DEAL STARTS @ $7.00 - Red Alert Plays
!!TOP RATED PREMIUM PLAYS!! Parlay Builder only at MyBookie
**PREMIUM PLAYS**CBB RED ALERT PLAY (FEB 29) - (8:00 - Cleveland State +8.5 vs Wisc Green Bay -8.5) CBB RED ALERT PLAY (FEB 29) - (8:00 - IPFW +10.5 vs Oral Roberts -10.5) CBB RED ALERT PLAY (FEB 29) - (10:00 Pacific -4 vs San Diego +4) CBB HUSH MONEY PLAY (FEB 29) - (10:00 Montana +2 vs Sacramento State -2)
**DAILY MAC ATTACK FREE PICKS**
NCAAB MAC ATTACK PICK (FEB 29) - (Stony Brook -1)NCAAB MAC ATTACK PICK (FEB 29) - (Depaul +8.5) XFL MAC ATTACK PLAY (FEB 29) - (Seattle Dragons +11.5) **FREE DAILY FUN PLAY TEASER & PARLAY PICKS** FUN PLAY 2 TEAM MIX GAME PARLAY (FEB 29) - (NBA - Golden State Warriors +8.5 X NHL - Winnipeg Jets +130)
**EARLY INFO FREE RELEASES** EXCLUSIVE MMA EASY MONEY - UFC ON ESPN+27 (FEB 29) - (DEIVESON FIGUEIREDO +125) EXCLUSIVE MMA EASY MONEY - UFC ON ESPN+27 (FEB 29) - (NORMA DUMONT +195) EXCLUSIVE MMA EASY MONEY - UFC ON ESPN+27 (FEB 29) - (TOM BREESE -120) RedAlertWagers.com and THE MAC recommend these industry leading sportsbooks!

MyBookie - (50% Sign Up Bonus)

Bovada - (Go double a 50% Welcome Bonus at Bovada)

submitted by TheMACSPicks to SportsReport [link] [comments]

Tonight's NCAAB Hush Money Play - NO. Colorado -6 vs Montana State +6 - (Another quiet game + A telling line = CBB CASH $)

Tonight's NCAAB Hush Money Play - NO. Colorado -6 vs Montana State +6 - (Another quiet game + A telling line = CBB CASH $)

Player Prop Builder
3/07 - Free Betting Predictions, Tips, Advice and Trends - MAC's MMA Exclusive Picks
Website: RedAlertWagers.com Contact: [email protected] Become a Member - Join The Patreon - $25 Text THE RED LINE For Tonight's Free MAC ATTACK PLAYS! Phone: THE RED LINE - (Toll-Free @ 1-844-334-2613) Follow The MAC on Social Media: Twitter.com/RedAlertWagers Facebook.com/RedAlertWagers Instagram.com/RedAlertWagers Reddit.com/useTheMACSPicks MAC Media: The Reddit Sports Report The Red Alert Report The NBABets Sub-Reddit
(MAR 07) Saturday's Free Special Wager Picks Below!

THE MAC'S TOP RATED RELEASE COLLEGE BASKETBALL RED ALERT PLAYS ARE UNSTOPPABLE THIS YEAR! - Tonight's NCAAB Hush Money Play - NO. Colorado -6 vs Montana State +6 - (Another quiet game + A telling line = CBB CASH $) + MAC's Free MLB Spring Training Picks Today!

March Madness Marathon - Patreon.com/MACSPicks
Red Alert Wagers SS LLC Exclusive Releases & Red Alert Free Plays exhibit why Roland "The Roarin MAC" McGuillaman's reputation as THE PAYMASTER is galvanized in the gambling underworld as a dangerous low key sharp! He doesn't know where you been, but The MACS been dicking down the sports betting game since the Star Dust was the place to get a high end hooker and a cocktail! Baseball is almost back and MAC will be throwing his lucky lean out everyday until opening day! Yesterday's Play - San Diego Padres -130 Spring Training Game - Winner - Final 3-4! Today's MAC ATTACK Picks are below along with some look ahead Exclusive MMA Releases that are easy money! March Madness is getting closer and MAC has been the man to go to for brackets, bust open your office pools and take all you're dorky co-workers cash with professional top rated March Madness Picks and Vegas tournament grade CBB bracket.
RedAlertWagers.com has revamped the Patreon! - NEW Membership Tiers - $25 1 Month of MAC'S exclusive information personal wagers, what games to move heavy on and what games to move minor on, play and watch how a professional sports betting expert spreads his units, either you're betting with us or just haven't heard The Roland Roarin Mac McGuillaman ROAR - Join Now - $25.00 Top Rated + Special Release Action
Join the Patreon - Starting @ $7 a month for Premium Red Alert Picks - Or take a 1 day ride with our Instant Access Red Pass - (1 Day Red Pass: $14.99)
Red Pass Pay by Phone Access: Call The Red Line - Toll Free @ 1-844-334-2613 Follow Automated Instructions to gain access to our 1 Day Red Pass, once payment verification is confirmed, a access link will be text messaged to your phone, follow the link after payment. (Payments Processed via © Stripe)
Not only is Roland calling games like a savage, The Mac is making record breaking earnings in 2020 - College Hoops Action is now hitting 73% and growing, hunting for the very best selections and odds is time consuming, chasing sharps and getting sportsbook alerts when whales lay heavy is a full time job, RedAlertWagers.com has been in the sports betting business to be in the sports betting business - PATREON MEMBERSHIPS START @ $7.00 - Red Alert Plays - All Games are released to the public the next day + MAC puts out a daily recap newsletter with free predictions and trends for the best games on the board!
(MAR 07) MAC DID THE CRUSHING LAST NIGHT - TONIGHT MAC HAS 2 SPECIAL RELEASE PLAYS + 3 RED ALERT PLAYS - ACTION STARTS @ 6:00!
Red Alert Patreon Members now get The MAC'S personal wagers as a units per play system, betting the strongest information and games with odds that have very best optimal value/risk reward. The Mac will once again prove why they continuously acclaim him to be a National Treasure as he will cracking them open and cleaning them out with 3 Red Alerts Picks Tonight! Roland is anticipating a huge CBB day, and Red Alerts Picks are cash in the bank making interest!
Premium Play & Top Rated Release earnings are up substantially, College Hoops Plays are more than impressive this year, and tonight's CBB Action is set to go our direction. The MAC has a full card today and he is getting the all the geetus with conviction, he did his homework and is keeping open lines of discourse between his consensus groups and other affiliated player syndicates across the country. There's a reason THE MAC has been dubbed THE PAYMASTER by bookmakers this college basketball season, picking games against the spread & sending a signal through the noise!
(MAR 07) MAC's Exclusive Release Plays - NCAAB HUSH MONEY ACTION + CBB MAJOR MOVE ALERT PLAY - MAC will be getting it done the way it's supposed to be done with 2 Exclusive release games on tap tonight - 6:00 - NCAAB Hush Money NO. Colorado -6 vs Montana State +6 - This will be another classic example of why they dub Roland MAC McGuillaman the most venerable betting source on the internet. 10:00 - CBB Major Move Alert San Francisco -3 vs Pacific +3 - A Pay Master Special Release with consensus backed information- The MAC has been picking off games all season and March Madness is his specialty, ripping down office pools and NCAAB March Madness Contests is just what the MAC does.
LAST NIGHT PLAY RECAP - Check the Patreon for last night's play recap - https://www.patreon.com/MACSPICKS
The stock market is crashing and MAC's answering back with the very best college basketball sports investments available - MAC has the play at Patreon and on the Red Pass tonight - $25.00 Gets all MAC's Top Rated & Special Release Picks for 1 Month - $25.00 1 Month of all exclusive info CBB picks!
6:00 - NCAAB Hush Money NO. Colorado Bears vs Montana State Bobcats
Roland's been playing and fading these teams for years, knowing when to lay or take points with teams like the Seawolves, Gaels, River Hawks, & Governors has aggrandized THE MAC's reputation for his college hoops Hush Money Plays. This will be another game out of the public eye that will produce the quiet profits we expect. We pride our action by bringing the results that keep the people recommending THE MAC'S ATS COLLEGE BASKETBALL PICKS, making him one of the most venerable sources for expert college basketball predictions against the spread, and lionizing RedAlertWagers.com in and around sportsbooks and casinos!
Tonight our Top Rated Exclusive Play Members will be getting in on MAC's CBB Major Move Alert on San Francisco -3 vs Pacific +3, plus all of tonight's Red Alert College Basketball & NBA Predictions.
THE MAC HAS CBB GAME RED ALERT PLAY - 7:00 - Albany NY +7.5 vs Stony Brook -7.5 a highly anticipated CBB Game - Another Big 15 UNIT play that holds the value we strive for when researching odds, trends and stats - MAC has been hitting the CBB Action hard and averaging around 72% this year for our CBB betting members.
Great Danes are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Great Danes are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
Seawolves are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
Seawolves are 16-5-2 ATS in their last 23 games following a straight up loss.
College Basketball Season is how we're making money, with dozens of games going off it's not easy for the average bettor to find a decent game to bet on, that's what RedAlertWagers.com is here for, we hit the angles and have the resources. Our Sports Consensus Groups are now focused on March Madness and we will be picking off NBA & NHL special release plays as we go! RedAlertWagers.com sports betting predictions are going the distance and there is no finish line!!
!!TOP RATED PREMIUM PLAYS!!
\*PREMIUM PLAYS*\**
Special Release Plays: 25 UNITS
6:00 - NCAAB Hush Money NO. Colorado -6 vs Montana State +6
10:00 - CBB Major Move Alert San Francisco -3 vs Pacific +3
Red Alert Plays: 25 UNITS
7:00 - Albany NY +7.5 vs Stony Brook -7.5
8:00 - St. Bonaventure +5 vs Saint Louis -5
11:00 - Stanford +7.5 vs Oregon -7.5
**DAILY MAC ATTACK FREE PICKS*\*
CBB MAC ATTACK PICK (MAR 07) - (Murray State +3)
CBB MAC ATTACK PICK (MAR 07) - (Cincinnati -10.5)
CBB MAC ATTACK PLAY (MAR 07) - (Massachusetts +3)
**FREE DAILY FUN PLAY TEASER & PARLAY PICKS*\*
FUN PLAY 2 TEAM MIX GAME PARLAY (MAR 07) - (NBA - Detroit Pistons +8 + CBB - Massachusetts +3)
FREE PLAYER PROP PARLAY (MAR 07) - (NBA + CBB - James Harden [email protected] will have more total rebounds than Damian Lillard [email protected] Braxton Key [email protected] +110) - MyBookie Player Prop Maker
**EARLY INFO FREE RELEASES*\*
EXCLUSIVE GOLF EASY MONEY - ARNOLD PALMER INVITATIONAL (MAR 05) - (Hideki Matsuyama +2000)
EXCLUSIVE MMA EASY MONEY - UFC 248 (MAR 07) - (Joanna Jedrzejczyk +159)
EXCLUSIVE MMA EASY MONEY - UFC 248 (MAR 07) - (Yoel Romero - Ko, Tko, Dq Or Submission +250)
EXCLUSIVE F-1 EASY MONEY - F-1 DRIVERS CHAMPIONSHIP (MAR 12) - (Max Verstappen +500)
submitted by OpenVisionZ to SportsReport [link] [comments]

3/04 - Free Betting Predictions, Tips, Advice and Trends! MLB Spring Training Free Play Today!

3/04 - Free Betting Predictions, Tips, Advice and Trends! MLB Spring Training Free Play Today!
3/04 - Free Betting Predictions, Tips, Advice and Trends! MLB Spring Training Free Play Today!

Daily Free MAC ATTACK Plays Below!

Website: RedAlertWagers.com
Contact: [[email protected]](mailto:[email protected])
Become a Member - Join The Patreon - $25
Text THE RED LINE For Tonight's Free MAC ATTACK PLAYS!
Phone: THE RED LINE - (Toll-Free @ 1-844-334-2613)
Follow The MAC on Social Media:
Twitter.com/RedAlertWagers
Facebook.com/RedAlertWagers
Instagram.com/RedAlertWagers
Reddit.com/useTheMACSPicks
MAC Media:
The Reddit Sports Report
The Red Alert Report
The NBABets Sub-Reddit
The MAC'S Instant Access Red Pass: 1 Day Only Access RED PASS: $14.99 - Pay By Phone: Call The Red Line & Follow Automated Instructions (Payments Processed via © Stripe)

(MAR 04) MAC DID THE CRUSHING LAST NIGHT - TONIGHT MAC HAS 1 SPECIAL RELEASE PLAY + 3 RED ALERT PLAYS, ACTION STARTS @ 7:00!

Red Alert Patreon Members now get The MAC'S personal wagers as a units per play system, betting the strongest information and games with odds that have very best optimal value/risk reward. The Mac will once again prove why they continuously acclaim him to be a National Treasure as he will cracking them open and cleaning them out with 3 Red Alerts Picks Tonight! Roland is anticipating a huge CBB day, and Red Alerts Picks are cash in the bank making interest!
Premium Play & Top Rated Release earnings are up substantially, College Hoops Plays are more than impressive this year, and tonight's CBB Action is set to go our direction. The MAC has a full card today and he is getting the all the geetus with conviction, he did his homework and is keeping open lines of discourse between his consensus groups and other affiliated player syndicates across the country. There's a reason THE MAC has been dubbed THE PAYMASTER by bookmakers this college basketball season, picking games against the spread & sending a signal through the noise!
(MAR 04) MAC GOT HIS LAST NIGHT - CBB HUSH MONEY ACTION NOW 39-15 FOR THE SEASON - MAC will be getting it done the way it's supposed to be done with 1 Exclusive release game on tap tonight - NCAAB Hush Money Play - 7:00 Massachusetts +1 vs La Salle -1, will be another classic example of why they dub Roland MAC McGuillaman the most venerable betting source on the internet. The MAC has been picking off games all season and March Madness is his specialty, ripping down office pools and NCAAB March Madness Contests is just what the MAC does.
LAST NIGHT RECAP - 9:00 - NCAAB Hush Money Pick - Appalachian State -2 vs UL - Monroe +2
(The Mac had a Sun Belt Hush Money play on Appalachian State -2 last night! The Appalachian State Mountaineers got it done with a final of 61-57. These are the quiet games that we have been nailing all season, games that are out of the public betting eye are the easy plays that make MAC's Hush Money Predictions platinum rated across the country. ) - \*WINNER*\**
The stock market is crashing and MAC's answering back with the very best college basketball sports investments available - MAC has the play at Patreon and on the Red Pass tonight - $25.00 Gets all MAC's Top Rated & Special Release Picks for 1 Month - $25.00 1 Month of all exclusive info CBB picks!
Roland's been playing and fading these teams for years, knowing when to lay or take points with teams like the Seawolves, Gaels, River Hawks, & Governors has aggrandized THE MAC's reputation for his college hoops Hush Money Plays. This will be another game out of the public eye that will produce the quiet profits we expect. We pride our action by bringing the results that keep the people recommending THE MAC'S ATS COLLEGE BASKETBALL PICKS, making him one of the most venerable sources for expert college basketball predictions against the spread, and lionizing RedAlertWagers.com in and around sportsbooks and casinos!
Tonight our Top Rated Exclusive Play Members will be getting in on MAC'S NCAAB MAJOR MOVE PLAY on the 8:00 - NCAAB Hush Money Play - Massachusetts +1 vs La Salle -1, plus all of tonight's Red Alert College Basketball & NBA Predictions.
THE MAC HAS NBA GAME RED ALERT PLAY -7:00 - Clemson +1.5 vs Virginia Tech -1.5 a highly anticipated CBB Game - A Big 5 UNIT play that holds the value we strive for when researching odds, trends and stats - MAC has been hitting the CBB Action hard and averaging around 72% this year for our CBB betting members.
  • Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
  • Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Tigers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up win.
  • Tigers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Tigers are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games as an underdog.
College Basketball Season is how we're making money, with dozens of games going off it's not easy for the average bettor to find a decent game to bet on, that's what RedAlertWagers.com is here for, we hit the angles and have the resources. Our Sports Consensus Groups are now focused on March Madness and we will be picking off NBA & NHL special release plays as we go! RedAlertWagers.com sports betting predictions are going the distance and there is no finish line!!

The MAC is cocked, locked, & loaded as he has received what people call the industry standard of advice from national sports syndicates and consensus groups across the country MAC's CBB RED ALERTS are only available on Patreon.com and are included in the 1 Day Red Pass!Special Release Play: 10 UNITS7:00 Massachusetts +1 vs La Salle -1RED ALERT PLAYS - 15 UNITS7:00 - Clemson +1.5 vs Virginia Tech -1.57:30 - Morehead State +2 vs Tennessee State -29:30 - Jacksonville State +2 vs Eastern Illinois -2

(MAR 04) Wednesday's Free Special Wager Picks Below!
https://preview.redd.it/oenr163yypk41.jpg?width=581&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=a11f441ed30a48b9832ad15dc43cf61cd5a064d9
THE MAC'S TOP RATED RELEASE COLLEGE BASKETBALL RED ALERT PLAYS ARE UNSTOPPABLE THIS YEAR! - Last Night's NCAAB Hush Money Play - Appalachian State -2 - (Another mismatch game + A telling line = CBB CASH $) + Free MLB Spring Training Picks Today!
Red Alert Wagers SS LLC Exclusive Releases & Red Alert Free Plays exhibit why Roland "The Roarin MAC" McGuillaman's reputation as THE PAYMASTER is galvanized in the gambling underworld as a dangerous low key sharp! He doesn't know where you been, but The MACS been dicking down the sports betting game since the Star Dust was the place to get a high end hooker and a cocktail! Baseball is almost back and MAC will be throwing his lucky lean out everyday until opening day! Today's Play - 8:05 Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 +105 Spring Training Game! Today's MAC ATTACK Picks are below along with some look ahead Exclusive MMA Releases that are easy money! March Madness is getting closer and MAC has been the man to go to for brackets, bust open your office pools and take all you're dorky co-workers cash with professional top rated March Madness Picks and Vegas tournament grade CBB bracket.
RedAlertWagers.com has revamped the Patreon! - NEW Membership Tiers - $25 1 Month of MAC'S exclusive information personal wagers, what games to move heavy on and what games to move minor on, play and watch how a professional sports betting expert spreads his units, either you're betting with us or just haven't heard The Roland Roarin Mac McGuillaman​ ROAR - Join Now - $25.00 Top Rated + Special Release Action
Not only is Roland calling games like a savage, The Mac is making record breaking earnings in 2020 - College Hoops Action is now hitting 73% and growing, hunting for the very best selections and odds is time consuming, chasing sharps and getting sportsbook alerts when whales lay heavy is a full time job, RedAlertWagers.com has been in the sports betting business to be in the sports betting business - PATREON MEMBERSHIPS START @ $7.00 - Red Alert Plays - All Games are released to the public the next day + MAC puts out a daily recap newsletter with free predictions and trends for the best games on the board!
**PREMIUM PLAYS*\*
Special Release Plays: 10 UNITS
NCAAB Hush Money Pick - 7:00 Massachusetts +1 vs La Salle -1
Red Alert Plays: 15 UNITS
7:00 Clemson +1.5 vs Virginia Tech -1.5
7:30 Morehead State +2 vs Tennessee State -2
9:30 Jacksonville State +2 vs Eastern Illinois -2
**DAILY MAC ATTACK FREE PICKS**
CBB MAC ATTACK PICK (MAR 04) - (Georgia Tech -6)
CBB MAC ATTACK PICK (MAR 04) - (St. Josephs +11.5) NBA MAC ATTACK PLAY (MAR 04) - (Chicago Bulls +3)
**FREE DAILY FUN PLAY TEASER & PARLAY PICKS*\* FUN PLAY 2 TEAM MIX GAME PARLAY (MAR 04) - (MLB - Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 +105 vs NBA - Chicago Bulls +3)
Build your own personal player prop-parlay at MyBookie FREE PLAYER PROP PARLAY (MAR 04) - (NBA Giannis Antetokounmpo [email protected] will have more points than Luka Doncic [email protected] and Bradley Beal [email protected] +235)
**EARLY INFO FREE RELEASES*\* EXCLUSIVE GOLF EASY MONEY - ARNOLD PALMER INVITATIONAL (MAR 05) - (Hideki Matsuyama +2000) EXCLUSIVE MMA EASY MONEY - UFC 248 (MAR 07) - (Joanna Jedrzejczyk +159) EXCLUSIVE F-1 EASY MONEY - F-1 DRIVERS CHAMPIONSHIP (MAR 12) - (Max Verstappen +500)
More Free Plays and Predictions at RedAlertWagers.com
submitted by TheMACSPicks to SportsReport [link] [comments]

Introducing Gambit | A New Swagbucks Partnership

Hello there, before we get started here, I have a couple things to get out of the way.
  1. You must be 18+.
  2. This post involves gambling. Even though I'm going to explain ways that are likely to help you profit regardless, understand there is a chance for loss.
  3. I'm writing this post with the assumption that you're already familiar with Swagbucks. If you aren't, familiarize yourself and come back ;). Read more about Swagbucks here.

Introducing Gambit Rewards

Prodege sure likes to get some bomb ass partnerships (like the recent partnership with Aspiration, or when they tried boosting their sales by discounting SB), and now Gambit is their latest partnership.
Gambit is a company that started last year (although more recently launched) and they started out partnered with Swagbucks.
Here's how Gambit works:
  1. You'll sign up for Gambit. (If you'd want to sign up under a ref link, find a referrral train in the comments). There is a sign up bonus of 100 tokens (worth roughly $1).
  2. You can then use your tokens to 'play games'. (Playing games = betting on sport outcomes, really).
  3. If you win the bet, the tokens you win from the bet will become, "Available winnings."
  4. You can then cash out your winnings.
There's a lot of important notes to be made here, as well as the potential use case where Gambit can be an extremely smart method to cash out your SB.

How the Swagbucks partnership works

Swagbucks' partnership with Gambit includes two nice features:
  1. The ability to convert SB to Gambit tokens at a 50% bonus (200 SB -> 300 Gambit tokens, where 300 gambit tokens is worth 300 SB)
  2. The ability to convert Gambit "available winnings" to SB at a 1:1 ratio.
You can purchase 300 Gambit tokens for 200 SB here.
NOTE: You cannot convert your gambit tokens into SB immediately. You must first gamble your tokens, and you can then cash out your winnings.

How to Play (and hopefully win) the games

The first thing I want to make clear here is that you're betting on actual sports. No matter what advice I give you to increase your odds of winning, understand that you're risking regardless, so keep this in mind.
Having said that, here's some advice.
Since you're required to gamble your gambit tokens before you can cash them out (and lock in that 50% SB bonus), there's no reason to take big risks. What I have done is wait for a game to appear where the winner is extremely easy to predict. In my case, I bet my gambit tokens on the Lions vs Vikings game that happened yesterday. The winner was obvious. The Lions are bad (which makes me sad), and the Vikings is one of the best teams. Although my winnings for the bet were only 1.12x, the real winnings come from the 50% bonus you'll lock in on your SB. Here's a SS of this case.
It doesn't make sense to actually use Gambit as an actual sports betting site, by the way. There's better options. I'll talk more about that in the conclusion.

Cashing out

Cashing out your available winnings on Gambit is a little interesting.
If you'd like, you could cash out for USD at a rate where 1 Gambit token is worth $0.009 (a 9% fee). There's a $5 minimum. I wouldn't recommend this, because you could otherwise cash out to SB at a 1:1 rate (no fees), where there's no minimum (?).
IMPORTANT: Transferring to SB seems to be broken currently. According to a SB rep, it should be coming back soon.

Conclusion / Is it worth it?

So in a perfect case, you would then convert your Gambit winnings to SB, and then from SB back to Gambit tokens at a 50% bonus.
But is it worth it?
The one last thing that I noticed that was mentioned by spacecadetjesus is how terrible the vig that Gambit charges is.
The catch is that the vig Gambit charges on a bet is highway robbery and clearly targeted towards people who don't know any better.
and
Just looking at the spreads: a standard line at any reputable betting site is -110. That means you bet 110 to profit 100 -- the 10% is the vig. On Gambit you have to bet 110 to profit 79. Holy crap. The best sports bettors in the world would get crushed. I assume the moneylines are just as bad.
I tend to recommend against gambling, but I feel like this option may be useful for some people who may be interested in receiving PayPal below the $25 minimum that SB sets (although taking a risk), or people who are interested in sports betting, and finds the 50% bonus attractive, despite the low payouts as mentioned by spacecadetjesus.
There are more comments in this thread that discuss the viability of gambling on Gambit.
The last thing I want to mention is that Gambit is really shady loophole in the sense that they allow anyone to use their site, even though sports betting online isn't even allowed everywhere in the US. They get around this by saying that nobody is actually gambling real money because the basis of the company is that you're gambling with loyalty points from sites (ex: Swagbucks). This article mentions that they want to expand to many loyalty programs - not just Swagbucks.
The same article also explains the benefit of a loyalty program wanting to use Gambit as follows:
Additionally, the International Financial Reporting Standard (IFRS) 15 now stipulates that loyalty points must be treated as deferred revenue, which can weigh heavily on companies' bottom lines. By letting consumers transfer points for tokens, Gambit creates a way for brands to convert unused points into revenue and get them off their books.
So, uh... take that as you wish.
Alright, please comment your thoughts on Gambit. Do you think it's worth the risk for the 50% bonus on gambit tokens? Or, in the case that someone really wanted to use their SB for gambling, do you think that someone would be better off cashing out for $25 PayPal and using the $25 to gamble on a more established site (without the bonus)?
Also, I don't give a shit about referrals here, they're too confusing for me. Please feel free to start a referral train below :).
Last thing: richpistilli claims to be the founder of Gambit, hopefully he'll come into this thread and answers further questions.
submitted by Fishering to beermoney [link] [comments]

Breadispain's NHL DFS Primer 2019-20

The first (preseason) DFS content is available tomorrow on Draftkings! It's time to get back into the swing of things.
Introduction
Many people commented or PMed me last season saying that my posts helped them win more money, more frequently. I know I personally missed out on some big paydays by ignoring my own advice. (Sigh.) I’ve been playing DFS hockey since 2014 and have become gradually more invested in it over the past few seasons. I started playing $1 single entry tournaments and I’ve been hooked since my first entry placed 47/3448. You’ll generally find me in single entry tournaments on Draftkings and whichever site has the better tournament payout on the larger Tuesday, Thursday and Saturday slates.
I have the same username on Draftkings, Fanduel and Rotogrinders if you’re looking for me elsewhere.
Disclaimer
I would recommend that you only play DFS as a form of entertainment. Hockey is a volatile sport where anything can happen any given night: the underdog could win, your starting goaltender could be injured, etc. While under no circumstances should you hold me liable should you lose, please take me into consideration if you do happen to come upon a big payday as a result of my advice ;)
I’d advise restraint during the preseason and month of October while lines and systems are settling and the sample size is small. The whole point of using data to build your lineups is to reduce randomness, so your bankroll should be saved for when the league is more predictable. However, if you’re a degenerate like me, you likely have enough data about your personal habits to know that is unlikely.
Slates
The NHL schedule dictates larger slates on Tuesdays, Thursdays and Saturdays, with fewer games on days between. Larger slates tend to come with higher prize pools funded by more entries. Since a larger slate means more players are on the ice, that generally decreases specific player ownership. Though that increases your chance of your players having lower ownership if they go off, it also makes it more difficult to pick players that score more than the rest of the field, since there’s a higher probability more goals are scored. (And that’s what makes it fun!)
While there are also all day, afternoon, evening and late night slates, as well as Showdown and whatever else have been introduced lately, the payout for these contests tends to be less overall for the same entry fees, while the difficulty of winning them is comparable, so I tend to avoid them with few exceptions.
Contest Type
Whether you’re playing cash games (50/50, multipliers, head-to-head), satellites, or GPP (Guaranteed Prize Pool) tournaments will greatly affect your strategy. In GPP’s you’re looking for highest upside to get the most overall points possible to win the tournament. In cash, you’re looking for the highest floor to ensure you’re above the fold. In general, play cash games for security and GPP’s for the thrill.
I’m sure there are a lot of pros that play cash games regularly because you can easily double your wager any given night, which at minimum helps pad your bankroll to cover any GPP losses. I personally don’t like the upside when weighing risk/reward and therefore prefer to play GPP’s almost exclusively. However, cash strategies can also translate to smaller tournaments because you don’t need as much variance to set yourself apart from other lineups.
Single-Entry vs Multi-Entry
Daily fantasy hockey is always pitching itself as a game of skill while trying to distance itself from gambling for legal reasons. I contend that single entry tournaments are the truest test of skill here because each entry holds the same weight. These are my preferred contests by far, though there are rarely more than two any given night with a payout worth the ticket price.
While you technically have a better chance of placing first by maxing your entries in GPP’s every night, it’s impractical for most players, especially the novice. You can see in the Draftkings Results Database that even seasoned veterans rarely employ this strategy as well. For what it’s worth, some of my biggest paydays have also been ones where I made the fewest amount of entries. Your mileage may vary.
Rake
Rake is simply the house cut taken by whichever site you’re gambling on. Along with entry fees it has increased in recent years and stabilized around 9-13% depending on the contest. If all things are considered equal, target contests with a lower rake, as more prizes are being paid out to the contestants. That also means GPP’s and satellites that are not filling up before the deadline can offer you a slight advantage.
Bankroll Management
You should care about how much money you’re gambling because no one else is going to. Bankroll management doesn’t factor much into my decision making simply due to the scale I operate at, so I’ll only offer this advice: winnings are not winnings until you withdraw them, and only if you haven’t deposited more than that originally. It boggles my mind when people praise themselves for winning a grand after dumping two the month before. Set an amount you’re comfortable losing and don’t deposit more than that when it’s gone. There are free bankroll trackers available online if you want an overview of how you’re doing, such as Daily Fantasy Nerd, as well as restrictions on each site if needed.
Point Systems
This whole post was based around the 2018-19 point system for both Fanduel and Draftkings. However, it was Recently Announced that adjustments would be made to the Draftkings point system this coming season. Here’s what you need to know:
Prior to this year, there used to be relative parity between the Fanduel and Draftkings scoring systems. Aside a few discrepancies, like Fanduel awarding minor powerplay point bonuses, Draftkings accounting for goaltender points and hat trick bonuses, and a slight variation between block and shot values, Fanduel scores were basically 4x Draftking ones and the only significant differences were salary discrepancies and lineup construction.
No longer. Not only have the Draftkings points been bumped up overall but their relative values have changed. A goaltender win is now worth less relative to a goal. While it used to take 15 saves to make up a goal, it will now take about 12. There will also be two points awarded for overtime losses.
There are other minor changes to the basic scoring system, like assists and shots on goal are worth slightly less relative to a goal, but the real change will be in the new bonus system. Here you will see an additional three points awarded for hat tricks, 35+ saves, 5+ shots, 3+ blocks and 3+ point games. That 3 point modifier also stacks with the hat trick bonus, which is, frankly, ridiculous. This will significantly change the worth of playmakers, with two assists (10 points) now being worth less than a player with five shots on goal (10.5 points) without hitting twine.
Draftkings claims this makes the game “more exciting” but right now it just seems like it’ll be more random. I fail to see how anyone that regularly plays DFS with any volume benefits from this change, outside of possibly drawing in more inexperienced entries and increasing the overall player and prize pool. The NHL players gaining these bonuses are, for the most part, already the top performers in those categories. Additional incentives are hardly necessary to have Burns or Ovechkin any given night. For others, certain punt plays could see a significant boost, though it makes little sense to me why two blocked shots would be worth 2.6 points but a third bumps that up to 6.9.
Regardless, I still see linestacking being advantageous with these changes.
Linestacking
Outside of choosing a winning goaltender, using players on the same line is the most basic DFS advice you can give a beginner. Since there are so few goals scored in a hockey game and most of those goals correlate with an assist, you typically want to pick players with good linemates. The odds of stacking two corresponding lines and getting multi-point games that win you money is far greater than selecting six players who have standout individual performances on any given night.
Depending on whether you play on Fanduel or Draftkings will determine what kind of strategies are available to you, as there are tighter salary constraints on Draftkings but looser restrictions. For example, on Fanduel you’re capped at 4 players from each team. On Draftkings, you only need 3 different teams represented, so you can technically play the entire top six from one team instead. Despite that, you cannot do the 4-4-1 stack available on Fanduel, where you pick two lines with their corresponding defensemen and a goaltender. Instead, you have to opt for a 4-3-1 stack, either using the utility position for a punt play (typically not ideal) or alternating one of the defensemen from a different team (preferable).
I don’t like to break up line stacks because I’ve been playing long enough to see it come back to haunt me, but there’s always an argument for dropping an underperforming third wheel or due to salary constraints.
Powerplay Correlation
Roughly 20% of NHL goals are scored with the man advantage. Though not strictly necessary, players who have top powerplay minutes are more likely to score goals. If an entire line has full powerplay correlation, even better. There are few teams worth targeting for a powerplay stack where the players are not also linemates. However, last season the Lightning, Panthers, Sharks, Pens, Flames, Leafs and Caps all had great powerplay success with players combined from two or more lines. This can make a decent contrarian play against a weak penalty kill team or simply to deviate from the standard chalk on a smaller slate.
Percentage of Ownership
Generally speaking, whichever team(s) has the highest Vegas odds to win, and especially a high oveunder, will also be the favored teams, or chalk, for DFS. Since only 20% of GPP entries will profit and the chalk lines are likely to garner 20%+ ownership, if that line goes off it could break the slate (you’ll need that line to win).
Just because a team is a favorite to win does not mean they’re your safest option. Primarily because there are no safe options, it’s also crucial to maximize your success by differentiating your lineups from others. Use Vegas odds and “expert” predictions as a guideline for what you think other people will be targeting, and keep this in mind when building your own lineups. Looking for the lines that could produce but be underlooked (and therefore under-owned) is necessary for a big payday.
The larger the slate, the more likely you can profit from chalk. Likewise, the smaller the slate, the higher upside for contrarian options. On a 12 game slate there are likely to be several favorites, decreasing the overall ownership percentage of any given line. On a three or four game slate, more people are likely to gravitate to one or two lines. Whether you can actually afford to stack these lines together is another matter entirely. Sometimes the chalk lines are so prohibitively expensive that you have to make great sacrifices elsewhere in your lineup.
Salary Constraints
I don’t fully understand how either Fanduel and Draftkings come up with their player salaries because they often feel arbitrary. Kase was priced at floor on Fanduel for weeks, despite putting up solid production on the first line for the Ducks. There were thousands of dollars difference in Chabot’s salary when he was on a tear as well. Some players, like Shattenkirk, appeared to have inflated salaries solely due to name recognition. Occasionally there are straight up errors, like Keith Yandle was priced at floor by mistake for almost a week on Draftkings last January. Suffice to say that it’s worth analyzing the value of each player on a line when stacking, as well as exploring individual salary trends, as players are often propped up by things that don’t translate to DFS production.
It’s rare that you’ll pick two lines that fit so comfortably you can afford top defensemen and a goaltender as well. If you have the salary left over to flesh out your lineup with Burns, Letang and Vasilevskiy, it’s hard to make an argument not to. More likely you’re going to be looking for pivots, a line that has a value player that brings down the total cost, or ultimately sacrificing somewhere in your lineup.
A solid pivot for me was likely an outlier getting top powerplay time (ex. Pirri), an individual performer on a depth line (Ex. Donato; Perreault), an unrecognized rookie (ex. Svechnikov, Chabot), someone stepping in for an injury in a lineup, or a cheap defenseman with offensive upside (ex. Ekholm).
It’s also not uncommon for a star to have less talented linemates. Sometimes that artificially inflates the cost of those linemates, but sometimes it makes the line a decent budget option. You’ll likely find these players alongside McDavid, Matthews, Crosby or Stamkos, for example, when their lines are not loaded with their corresponding Kucherovs or Draisaitls.
Some lines are so prohibitively expensive they’re virtually unstackable at all, though these lines are also typically matchup proof. Because of the sacrifice required, these lines are often worth targeting on a larger slate or against tougher opposition where they’ll fetch lower ownership but still have the potential for a hat trick or more. Refer to COL1, BOS1, TBL2, etc.
Contrarian Play
Contrarian here simply means rejecting the consensus favorite, but it’s often confused with simply picking a line from a bad team to go against the grain. Note there’s rarely a good argument to pick a contrarian goaltender, outside of high upside for their salary. Keep in mind that Vegas odds, really even the best teams in the NHL, are roughly 60-65% likely to accurate project as a winner, and that winning alone is not always enough to make a goaltender valuable because they might not see a lot of shots.
So when should you play contrarian? One of my favorite contrarian options on Fanduel specifically is when a line’s players have the “wrong” position. This happens when a player was previously playing out of position, and Fanduel is notorious for being slow to respond to these changes. Since it’s more difficult to stack a CCW or WWW line, these picks are naturally contrarian because they’re harder to fit into a lineup.
Another option might be targeting secondary scoring on depth lines. Not only is this an option for affordability that’s easier to stack, but it’s a decent pivot off the chalk for a team that’s a favorite to win. It’s worth noting that a team playing on home ice has the advantage of last change and therefore can choose their deployment. If you’re targeting against a team with a solid shutdown line on home ice, a secondary scoring line might end up getting better deployment and production. Likewise, if you know a line will be forced to play a shutdown role, you might want to consider alternatives. This is called line matching and may differ on a nightly basis.
One option that’s often overlooked is a game stack. That is, picking one line from either teams in one game. When two teams are porous defensively or have a historic rivalry, chances are if a goal is scored early in the first period the ice could rapidly open up and the game will become a shooting gallery.
Finally, though this option is restricted only to Draftkings, you can stack two lines from the same team with each other. This could be the entire top six or a full five man powerplay stack. I would reserve this option only for high powered offenses against the weakest of opposition though.
Defensemen
I often consider defensemen an extension of linestacking, but in reality that’s not always feasible. Though there are technically points awarded for blocked shots, even the top shot blockers aren’t very DFS relevant on shot blocking alone, unless they are positioned against a high shot volume team and come at a reasonable price tag. It is worth considering a high floor from reliable shooters and/or blockers when looking for value if you’re stacking two expensive lines, especially in cash games. While it’s not uncommon to see rosters where people have two depth defenders squeezed into their lineup due to salary constraints, know that you’ll typically need at least another goal from your forwards to compensate for the backend unless they happen to get a lucky bounce.
There are only around forty defensemen capable of regularly generating at a half point per game every season. With so few of these players available any given night, their salaries are typically higher than a forward with a similar point pace. The most prolific point producers are often unattainable for this reason. If an inexpensive defenseman finds his way onto the first powerplay unit, you can guarantee he will see high ownership. It’s almost always recommended to upgrade your defensemen if your salary allows.
Goaltenders
More important than any other statistic is whether or not your goalie is starting, so make sure to confirm that before puck drop. Daily Faceoff is the defacto place to verify the starting goaltender for each team. It’s not infallible, but it’s the best resource available without refreshing Twitter constantly for updates.
While it’s rare this will haunt you, it’s important to note that the win is only attributed to the goalie that’s on the ice when the deciding goal is scored, and that’s not necessarily who’s in the net at the end of the game. This is especially pertinent if you’re considering playing preseason games, where there’s often split duty between two prospects.
Even the worst goaltender is going to take up a sizeable chunk of your salary cap. However, unless they’re pulled from the game, even a losing goalie at least generally has some positive impact on your overall score. On the flipside, a winning goaltender can easily be your MVP every night. That’s a lot of pressure on picking the right player in this position, and therefore it’s often the hardest.
Without consideration for quality of opponent, even the best goaltender on the first seeded team has generally won less than 70% of their games that season. Picking a winning team is already a gamble, let alone the challenge of picking a winner that also faces a lot of shots without giving up goals. Because of this, I don’t really have a strong inclination to any particular strategy here. Some nights I’ll single out a small handful of goalies I think will perform well and either correlate them with my stacks or disperse them based on their salaries. If I’m only targeting a few lines that night, maybe I’ll run the same stacks with several goaltenders and hope to see them all dispersed in the top fifty. Other times I’ll ride the same goaltender for every lineup in a boom or bust scenario. In any case, I would seriously caution against being contrarian here without knowing there’s high upside (the goaltender is cheapest on the slate and at least has a chance of winning, say).
Recent/Historical Performance
I’m not going to lie, I use DailyFantasyNerd to compare shooting and scoring trends amongst players, and I’m always dialled in to the hot hands as much as anyone. However, I feel like people might put too much weight on recent performance and too little on historical data and sustainability.
There’s no question that sometimes players just go on hot or cold streaks, and betting on a player who’s in a slump to miraculously break it that night is equal parts realistic and gambler’s fallacy, as much as banking on the hot hand continuing his run would be. If you’re willing to do further digging, it’s worth taking into account whether a player is seeing a change in deployment or ice time. Consider whether they’re shooting more or less and what percentage of those shots are converting. Also note the quality of competition in the previous games. If you’re not doing any additional research whatsoever, just know these stats are usually shown as an average over the last five games and can be heavily skewed by one good or bad game, or even an injury.
If I only have time for minimal research any given night, without fail I am checking ShrpSports and CBC Sports for the team matchup history. Providing other factors align, I will often trust historical data and narrative games over a lot of other metrics. Now, I’m often criticised for putting weight on either of these things whatsoever, but I’ll still argue that it’s foolish to ignore it.
Obviously rosters change from season to season, and sometimes very dramatically. You should definitely take offseason changes into account. However, there are some teams or specific players that consistently (and often unexpectedly) have another team’s number, and rivalries are sure to bring out the best of both teams despite what fancy stats and standings indicate. Because of this, I tend to look at the outcome of the previous two season’s play and include any games played this season, with a greater weight put on teams that matchup more frequently. Especially if there is a team that shouldn’t be victorious that’s been on a relatively consistent win streak versus their opponent, I’m making a note of the upside from their upset potential, both to avoid picking the opposing goaltender and to consider linestacks that might otherwise be overlooked. I generally ignore playoff performances though because the stakes are higher and roles tend to be different.
It also might seem silly to place any weight on things like personal milestones, birthdays or playing against your former team, but hockey players are human, and more often than not people step up to prove something to themselves or others, or help their teammates achieve personal goals.
Advanced Stats
I’ll consider advanced stats for our purposes as anything that isn’t already tracked for DFS points that might actually affect them. So, standard stats would be shots, goals, assists and blocks, and advanced stats would be metrics that affect that. Not all good hockey players are fantasy relevant, and therefore many advanced stats aren’t a good predictor of DFS production. I will say that advanced stats strongly suggested that Tampa Bay were not nearly as good as their record suggested headed into the playoffs. Either way, it’s worth understanding these terms as they’re becoming part of the narrative, and while player and puck tracking will soon be the norm, you can garner a slight edge over the competition with a bit of manual work if you’re so inclined. In any case, none of these stats should be considered in a vacuum, and hockey isn’t a science in that you’ll accurately predict an outcome via advanced stats alone, so don’t go crazy looking for a pattern that probably isn’t there.
You can find all these stats (and much more) listed below at Corsica Hockey and Natural Stat Trick.
Shooting Percentage
Shooting percentage is predictive of whether on a player’s ice performance is sustainable. It’s most useful as a comparison to league and individual averages weighed against current performance to determine whether it’s an outlier. Simply, whether a player is slumping or over-performing.
Scoring Chances
These are shots taken where goals are likely to be scored, weighed based on where on the ice they’re taken from. It’s fallible, but it’s one of the strongest predictors currently available. If a player has a high shooting percentage but is also taking high danger shots, it stands to reason why they’re converting into goals. It’s worth noting when a line is generating high danger scoring opportunities without producing, as they’ll likely fly under the radar in the meantime.
Expected Goals FoAgainst (xGF/xGA)
Expected goals is a measurement of unblocked shots that register on net in the offensive zone. xGF/xGA doesn’t have a strong correlation with actual goals scored, which seems easily explained because it doesn’t take into account individual talent or scoring probability. While there’s a chance any puck thrown toward the net could lead to a goal, without taking into account the shot quality or where it’s generated from, I don’t place much weight on this personally.
Expected Save Percentage (xSv%)
This stat takes into account shot quality (though not shooter quality) and quantity and ranks the goaltender against the league average performance. Again, this isn’t necessarily a fair indicator of how well the goaltender performed. It is worth considering for how well the team’s defense has played in front of him though, so it can be used in conjunction with other stats when picking a goalie for the win and save upside.
Corsi and Fenwick
Corsi is likely the most recognizable name in advanced stats. This was devised to account for goaltender workload and adjusts for every time they have to be in position to make a save, so it takes into account shot attempts that are blocked or go wide of the net. It’s sister stat, Fenwick, is identical, aside excluding blocked shots. >50% Corsi/Fenwick indicates more shots on net than against. Neither take into account shot quality. Therefore, rather than using positive metrics to determine whether a team will score, I consider this a determining factor for diminishing the opposition from scoring, as they’ll possess the puck less often. This is especially worth considering for linematching.
Note that Corsi/Fenwick will be influenced by zone starts. A player that gets more faceoffs in the offensive zone is more likely to put pucks on net than they are to have shots against theirs, and vice versa. A player that has negative percentage and >50% offensive zone starts represents poor ice performance.
PDO/SPSV%
This statistic is nothing more than shooting percentage added to the save percentage. Since this will always total 100% league-wide, variance higher than 100 supposedly indicates luck, or that a team is not as good as they seem, and anything lower indicates they may be better than they appear. Though this stat supposedly measures luck it can also indicate a significant skill gap (Kucherov and Matthews are dominant in this category). A line generating many high danger scoring chances without conversion should have a low PDO that regresses to the mean.
There are more advanced stats available than these, as well as derivatives of each, though I think this is enough of an overview for daily fantasy purposes. If there’s something you’ve found to be useful though, feel free to drop it in the comments.
Lineup Construction
Now that you have narrowed down your chosen lines based on which teams you want to target and have a handful of goaltenders and defensemen/utility players selected, you’re ready to construct your lineups.
This will likely be a very individual process based on system comfortability and how many entries you’re submitting. The default will be simply to load the corresponding app or website and do everything entirely on your device or browser, if not supplementing with pen and paper. Perfectly acceptable. However, this would be both cumbersome and time consuming for MME, so there’s also a bulk upload option available with .csv spreadsheets. This might be the approach you take if you’re using an optimizer too.
Optimizers
Free optimizers are basically designed to squeeze out every dollar per average point production or projection, which is very much not what I prefer to build my lineups on. Though there are better options if you’re willing to shell out some money, I don’t play enough volume to warrant a subscription and prefer a more hands-on approach anyway. I would highly recommend checking out Linestar though. I am not affiliated with them in any way, but they seem under-recognized in the market and are easily the best optimizer available for hockey in my opinion, utilizing a lot of the criteria I’ve mentioned here, including historical data, stacking and advanced stats, etc. which many other optimizers omit. There’s also an option for a brief trial based on ad views.
Line Stacker
I personally use a custom line stacker that I hobbled together with spreadsheets and the downloadable .csv files from Draftkings and Fanduel. You can access it here along with the basic instructions for how it works. Someone always comes along and messes it up somehow, so I would recommend downloading it to your desktop and using Excel to play around with it.
Late Night Swaps
Rosters lock when the first game of the night is slated to begin. If there are games on your slate starting later than that, keep in mind that changes can and do happen. Check for last minute line changes or which goaltender takes the ice even if things seemed certain at the morning skate. The worst thing that can happen is watching your first place entry plummet because it was a late reveal that someone has the flu and isn’t on the bench.
Additional Resources
Breadispain’s FREE Fanduel and Draftkings Line Stacker v1.1: My own hobbled together line-stacking tool for up to 24 lines. I don't know of a similar tool available right now and I find it handier than an optimizer. There’s also a rudimentary salary comparison tool between Draftkings and Fanduel implemented if that interests you.
ShrpSports: See how well teams have performed against each other historically.
CBC Sports: maybe it’s because I’m Canadian, but I think the CBC does the best overview of the slate with easy access to the latest game data.
Daily Faceoff: Your best source for lineups, injury news and starting goaltender information.
Daily Fantasy Nerd: I use this daily for an overview of who’s hot/cold in the last five games for shots on goal, ice time and points, though it’s worth making a deeper dive to see whether those points came from a single outlier game.
Corsica Hockey and Natural Stat Trick: I use both of these sites for advanced stats, and occasionally the latter for line-matching data and post-game analysis.
Linestar: Linestar comes closest to developing a DFS tool that actually correlates with how I build my lineups. They offer everything from analysis on value plays, recent performance in varying metrics, historical data vs opponent, change in salary, salary disparity between platforms, and much more.
Results DB: see the best and optimal lineups from previous nights and who came out ahead.
Awesemo, Rotogrinders and DFS Army: Since these are the more popular sites, I tend to review their postings and livestreams when time permits on the big slates for anything I might’ve overlooked and to get a better idea of where other people might be targeting. I personally place more weight on boggslite and Homercles, for whatever that’s worth to you.
Summary
It’s my opinion that Vegas odds and expert predictions should be used as a guide for chalk more than what you should target. It won’t take research to determine that good players with ideal linemates against weak opponents are more likely to score. Don’t ignore narrative games and historical performances. Advanced stats can be both helpful and distracting. Ideally you’ll always stack two or more players who are correlated on the powerplay with one or both of your defensemen, on teams with high GF/G and/or PP%, against teams with low CF% and/or a goaltender with high GAA, ideally with a low PK%. Consider whether these players have been under or overperforming and have any chemistry together. Players who shoot more often increase their point floor and probability to score. It’s advantageous to be on home ice for linematching but it’s rarely a dealbreaker. Round this out with a goaltender with a high expected SA/G and low GAA that fits within your salary constraints. Alternatively, build from the goaltender out or just hamfist whomever works.
And that’s always easier said than done.
Best of luck.
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FEB 26 - Free Predictions and NBA Trends and Betting Info

FEB 26 - Free Predictions and NBA Trends and Betting Info
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FEB 26 - Free Predictions and NBA Trends and Betting Info
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Top Sports Betting Twitter accounts for sports wagering enthusiasts. The following list includes oddsmakers, bettors, industry experts, sports betting information sources, live movement reporters and more. David Purdum — As dialed-in to the sports gambling world as anyone. Purdum writes about gambling for ESPN Chalk, offers valuable Vegas San Francisco, Las Vegas About Podcast Sports betting expert and Host of VSiN's 'A Numbers Game' on SiriusXM, Gill uncovers the best of sports handicapping including free picks, the ins and outs of gambling strategies, and the truth behind sports book and casino operations. Together with industry high stakes handicappers and sports wagering experts, Gill covers NFL, college football, MLB Given its format, Twitter is medium best suited for the acquisition of breaking news, real-time updates, and up-to-the-minute advice and strategy. You won’t get the visual gags or braggadocious materialism of sports betting to the same degree as you will on Instagram, but you will get more practical and actionable knowledge. Betting Advice Featured 55 Best Twitter Follows For Sports Betting From informative to entertaining, these are the best Twitter follows for sports bettors. February 8, 2019 we’ve compiled a list of the best sports betting Twitter follows. That includes handicappers, accounts that provide useful information and a few others that will They help you compare all of your sports bettings accounts to view all your balances and compare odds in real time. It’s a great way to find the best price for an acca and make the most money. Follow @TheAppBet on Twitter as they post lots of cool betting info, and often post which bookies have the best price for a big event. Black Type

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